Thursday, April 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Tanner Roark
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Nationals Park on Thursday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Tanner Roark for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +150 and Washington at -160. The over/under was set at 8. The Phillies have a 10-9-1 over/under record and a 10-10-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Nationals are 11-8-0 against the run line and have a 7-10-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 10-10 record, including 5-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has 30 strikeouts over his 26 innings pitched and he has given up 21 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.87. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 66 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 74 times and walking 30 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 164 base hits and 85 earned runs. They have allowed 28 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 57 batters and struck out 204. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.88.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .232, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .258 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .376 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.6 hits per game. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .289 and his on-base percentage is at .325. He has 22 hits this season along with 6 runs scored and 14 runs batted in. He's struck out 16 times and has walked 3 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .288 and he has an on-base percentage of .442. He has totaled 19 hits so far while scoring 12 runs and he's driven in 9. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 17 times. The Phillies have 152 hits, including 30 doubles and 18 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Philadelphia has walked 51 times this season and they've struck out 176 times as a unit. They've left 120 men on base and have a team OPS of .668. They score 3.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 66 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 8-2 home record and a 14-5 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.63, Tanner Roark has a 2-2 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 24 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 22 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.14. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.02 and they have given up 40 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .193 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 56 times and walking 16 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 6.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.33. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 133 base knocks and 46 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 12 home runs this year and they give up 0.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 55 hitters and struck out 171. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.06 while their FIP as a staff is 3.05.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Nationals hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.32 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .328 and he has an OBP of .430. He has 21 hits this year along with 15 runs scored and 24 RBI. He's struck out 9 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Yunel Escobar is hitting .282 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 24 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 6. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 8 times. The Nationals as a unit have 158 base hits, including 33 doubles and 23 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Washington as a team has walked 68 times this year and they have struck out 157 times. They've had 134 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They score 4.32 runs per game and have totaled 82 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 10-9-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 10-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 7-10-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 11-8-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24)
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/04/16 P Michael Mariot Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
04/24/16 P Joe Ross Finger expected to miss next start
04/07/16 LF Ben Revere Oblique 15-day DL (4/5)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals
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