Sunday, June 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jameson Taillon vs. Kyle Hendricks
The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Wrigley Field on Sunday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Jameson Taillon for the Pirates and Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at +145 and Chicago at -155. The over/under was set at 8. The Pirates have a 41-25-1 over/under record and a 30-37-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Cubs are 40-25-0 against the run line and have a 32-31-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 62% of the time.
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The Pirates head into this matchup with a 33-34 record, including 15-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Jameson Taillon has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 1.93 and a WHIP of 0.79. He has 8 strikeouts over his 14 innings pitched and he has given up 8 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.77. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 218 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 184 times and walking 102 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.23 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 609 base hits and 292 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 249 batters and struck out 485. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.62.
As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .268, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.31 hits per game. Starling Marte comes into this game hitting .332 and his on-base percentage is at .374. He has 80 hits this season along with 35 runs scored and 25 runs batted in. He's struck out 56 times and has walked 7 times. Gregory Polanco is hitting .288 and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 69 hits so far while scoring 44 runs and he's driven in 39. He has walked 34 times and has struck out 54 times. The Pirates have 624 hits, including 125 doubles and 61 home runs. They've stolen 47 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Pittsburgh has walked 230 times this season and they've struck out 550 times as a unit. They've left 517 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 310 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 23-8 home record and a 45-20 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.05, Kyle Hendricks has a 4-6 record and a 1.01 WHIP. He has 61 strikeouts over the 73.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 55 hits. He has allowed 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.29. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.26 and they have given up 128 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .202 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 179 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.45 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.91 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.56. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 423 base knocks and 171 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 49 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 191 hitters and struck out 581. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.05 while their FIP as a staff is 3.32.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .241 average at home. The Cubs hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.65 hits per contest. Ben Zobrist comes into this matchup batting .314 and he has an OBP of .421. He has 69 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 40 RBI. He's struck out 36 times and has walked on 42 occasions. Kris Bryant is hitting .273 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 68 hits so far while he's scored 48 runs and drove in 45. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 64 times. The Cubs as a unit have 562 base hits, including 121 doubles and 78 homers. They have 28 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Chicago as a team has walked 282 times this year and they have struck out 553 times. They've had 481 men left on base and have an OPS of .774. They score 5.38 runs per game and have totaled 350 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 41-25-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 30-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 32-31-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 40-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/17/16 LF Starling Marte Facial "?" Saturday vs. Chicago Cubs
06/14/16 P Gerrit Cole Tricep 15-day DL (6/9)
06/11/16 C Francisco Cervelli Hand 15-day DL (6/10)
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 60-day DL (5/24)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/17/16 3B Kris Bryant Flu probable Saturday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
06/09/16 2B Tommy La Stella Hamstring 15-day DL (6/8)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates
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