Monday, May 9, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Jon Niese vs. Dan Straily
The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Great American Ball Park on Monday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jon Niese for the Pirates and Dan Straily for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at -120 and Cincinnati at +110. The over/under was set at 9. The Pirates have a 20-10-0 over/under record and a 15-15-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Reds are 13-18-0 against the run line and have a 18-11-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
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The Pirates head into this matchup with a 16-14 record, including 9-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Niese has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 5.94 and a WHIP of 1.68. He has 25 strikeouts over his 33.1 innings pitched and he has given up 42 hits so far this season. He has allowed 11.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.75. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.25 and they have given up 103 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen while being struck out 93 times and walking 53 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 268 base hits and 129 earned runs. They have allowed 36 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 130 batters and struck out 241. They walk 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.58.
As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .281, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .290 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .363 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 9.97 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen comes into this game hitting .231 and his on-base percentage is at .338. He has 27 hits this season along with 20 runs scored and 12 runs batted in. He's struck out 32 times and has walked 17 times. Starling Marte is hitting .325 and he has an on-base percentage of .377. He has totaled 39 hits so far while scoring 17 runs and he's driven in 14. He has walked 4 times and has struck out 27 times. The Pirates have 299 hits, including 61 doubles and 28 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Pittsburgh has walked 123 times this season and they've struck out 238 times as a unit. They've left 255 men on base and have a team OPS of .792. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 146 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 11-8 home record and a 13-18 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.56, Dan Straily has a 1-1 record and a 1.12 WHIP. He has 26 strikeouts over the 30.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 20 hits. He has allowed 5.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.19. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.57 and they have given up 121 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 93 times and walking 59 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.36 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.25 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.33. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 283 base knocks and 161 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 56 home runs this year and they give up 1.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 133 hitters and struck out 219. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.53 while their FIP as a staff is 5.80.
As a team, they are batting .236, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .237 average at home. The Reds hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.65 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .229 and he has an OBP of .352. He has 24 hits this year along with 13 runs scored and 18 RBI. He's struck out 32 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .243 and he has an OBP of .295. He has collected 25 hits so far while he's scored 14 runs and drove in 21. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 28 times. The Reds as a unit have 237 base hits, including 58 doubles and 32 homers. They have 23 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 73 times this year and they have struck out 246 times. They've had 160 men left on base and have an OPS of .690. They score 4.13 runs per game and have totaled 128 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 20-10-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 15-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 18-11-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 13-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/14/16 P Cory Luebke Hamstring 15-day DL (4/14)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
05/06/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder "?" for next scheduled start
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 15-day DL (5/1)
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Pirates
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