Friday, September 16, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Ryan Vogelsong vs. Robert Stephenson
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The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Great American Ball Park on Friday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Ryan Vogelsong for the Pirates and Robert Stephenson for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at +103 and Cincinnati at -113. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Pirates have a 78-63-3 over/under record and a 66-78-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Reds are 77-68-0 against the run line and have a 76-59-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Pirates head into this matchup with a 70-74 record, including 34-36 on the road. Starting pitcher Ryan Vogelsong has a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 4.66 and a WHIP of 1.43. He has 44 strikeouts over his 63.2 innings pitched and he has given up 63 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.05. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 489 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen while being struck out 455 times and walking 205 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.5 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 1,323 base hits and 602 earned runs. They have allowed 160 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 479 batters and struck out 1,079. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.
As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .257, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.78 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen comes into this game hitting .247 and his on-base percentage is at .328. He has 131 hits this season along with 72 runs scored and 63 runs batted in. He's struck out 133 times and has walked 60 times. Starling Marte is hitting .311 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 151 hits so far while scoring 71 runs and he's driven in 46. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 103 times. The Pirates have 1,265 hits, including 249 doubles and 133 home runs. They've stolen 102 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 43 times. Pittsburgh has walked 487 times this season and they've struck out 1,174 times as a unit. They've left 1,036 men on base and have a team OPS of .732. They score 4.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 637 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 36-38 home record and a 62-83 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.43, Robert Stephenson has a 2-1 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 20.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 20 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.04. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.96 and they have given up 503 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 466 times and walking 260 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.05 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.75 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.86. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,300 base knocks and 698 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 234 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 563 hitters and struck out 1,113. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 5.24.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.55 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .252 and he has an OBP of .308. He has 117 hits this year along with 67 runs scored and 50 RBI. He's struck out 84 times and has walked on 37 occasions. Joey Votto is hitting .318 and he has an OBP of .433. He has collected 155 hits so far while he's scored 89 runs and drove in 84. He has earned a walk 100 times and has punched out 113 times. The Reds as a unit have 1,239 base hits, including 249 doubles and 147 homers. They have 122 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 45 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 414 times this year and they have struck out 1,160 times. They've had 898 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They score 4.39 runs per game and have totaled 637 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 78-63-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 66-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 76-59-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 77-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/15/16 LF Starling Marte Back is downgraded to doubtful Thursday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
09/14/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 60-day DL (9/13)
09/14/16 C Elias Diaz Knee 60-day DL (9/13), out for season
09/14/16 P Gerrit Cole Elbow 60-day DL (9/13), out for season
09/12/16 2B Josh Harrison Groin 15-day DL (9/10), out for season
09/15/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique "?" Friday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
09/15/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee "?" Friday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
09/14/16 P Alfredo Simon Shoulder 60-day DL (9/12)
09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates
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