Sunday, September 18, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Ivan Nova vs. Dan Straily
The Pittsburgh Pirates head to Great American Ball Park on Sunday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Ivan Nova for the Pirates and Dan Straily for the Reds. The Pirates have a 80-63-3 over/under mark and a 68-78-0 run line record, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Reds are 77-69-0 against the run line and have a 77-59-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Pirates head into this game with a 72-74 record, and they are 36-36 on the road. Starting pitcher Ivan Nova has a 12-6 record with an ERA of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 118 strikeouts during his 149.2 innings pitched and he has given up 153 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.27. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have allowed 492 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the pen while they've been struck out 466 times and walked 205 times this year. As a unit, Pittsburgh has given up 9.16 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.53 hitters per nine. They are 16th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.17. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 1,337 base hits and 609 earned runs. They have allowed 162 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 481 batters and struck out 1,099. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.
As a team, Pittsburgh is hitting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .245 average on the road. The Pirates have a .404 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .333 which is good for 4th in the league. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.84 hits per contest. Andrew McCutchen comes into this game hitting .252 and his on-base percentage is at .334. He has 136 hits this season along with 76 runs scored and 67 runs batted in. He's struck out 134 times and has walked 62 times. Starling Marte is hitting .311 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 151 hits so far while scoring 71 runs and he's driven in 46. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 103 times. The Pirates have 1,290 hits, including 256 doubles and 140 home runs. They've stolen 102 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 43 times. Pittsburgh has walked 496 times this season and they've struck out 1,193 times as a unit. They've left 1,046 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 661 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this game with a 36-39 home mark and a 62-84 overall record. With an ERA of 3.81, Dan Straily has a 12-8 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 145 strikeouts over the 172.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 138 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.8. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.99 and they have given up 511 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 471 times and walking 262 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,312 base knocks and 707 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 236 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 569 hitters and struck out 1,124. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 5.25.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Reds hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.55 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .252 and he has an OBP of .308. He has 117 hits this year along with 67 runs scored and 50 RBI. He's struck out 84 times and has walked on 37 occasions. Joey Votto is hitting .318 and he has an OBP of .432. He has collected 157 hits so far while he's scored 91 runs and drove in 85. He has earned a walk 100 times and has punched out 114 times. The Reds as a unit have 1,248 base hits, including 250 doubles and 149 homers. They have 122 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 45 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 416 times this year and they have struck out 1,171 times. They've had 902 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They score 4.41 runs per game and have totaled 644 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 80-63-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 68-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 77-59-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 77-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/17/16 LF Starling Marte Back "?" Game #1 Saturday vs. Cincinnati Reds
09/14/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 60-day DL (9/13)
09/14/16 C Elias Diaz Knee 60-day DL (9/13), out for season
09/14/16 P Gerrit Cole Elbow 60-day DL (9/13), out for season
09/12/16 2B Josh Harrison Groin 15-day DL (9/10), out for season
09/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique 15-day DL (9/5)
09/16/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee "?" Game #1 Saturday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
09/16/16 P Cody Reed Back 15-day DL (9/5)
09/14/16 P Alfredo Simon Shoulder 60-day DL (9/12)
09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
Tony's Pick: Take the Reds
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