Monday, May 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jeff Locke vs. Justin Nicolino
The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Marlins Park on Monday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Jeff Locke for the Pirates and Justin Nicolino for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at -132 and Miami at +122. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Pirates have a 31-16-1 over/under record and a 24-24-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Marlins are 24-25-0 against the run line and have a 25-23-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Pirates head into this matchup with a 28-20 record, including 13-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Jeff Locke has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 5.08 and a WHIP of 1.54. He has 32 strikeouts over his 51.1 innings pitched and he has given up 55 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.35. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 160 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 128 times and walking 71 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 433 base hits and 196 earned runs. They have allowed 59 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 178 batters and struck out 351. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.63.
As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .284, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .273 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .359 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 10 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen comes into this game hitting .258 and his on-base percentage is at .341. He has 49 hits this season along with 33 runs scored and 22 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 22 times. Starling Marte is hitting .317 and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 58 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 4 times and has struck out 43 times. The Pirates have 480 hits, including 91 doubles and 47 home runs. They've stolen 36 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 13 times. Pittsburgh has walked 173 times this season and they've struck out 375 times as a unit. They've left 390 men on base and have a team OPS of .794. They score 5.1 runs per contest and have scored a total of 245 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 10-13 home record and a 25-24 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.37, Justin Nicolino has a 2-2 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 12 strikeouts over the 35 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 35 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.03. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 149 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 153 times and walking 80 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.29 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 415 base knocks and 192 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 36 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 202 hitters and struck out 399. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.
As a team, they are batting .274, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .265 average at home. The Marlins hold a .416 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.45 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .214 and he has an OBP of .326. He has 33 hits this year along with 21 runs scored and 26 RBI. He's struck out 61 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .318 and he has an OBP of .420. He has collected 47 hits so far while he's scored 24 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 30 times. The Marlins as a unit have 463 base hits, including 84 doubles and 44 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Miami as a team has walked 142 times this year and they have struck out 379 times. They've had 377 men left on base and have an OPS of .749. They score 3.98 runs per game and have totaled 195 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 31-16-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 24-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 25-23-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 24-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/29/16 RF Gregory Polanco Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Texas Rangers
05/29/16 1B John Jaso Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Texas Rangers
05/26/16 P Arquimedes Caminero Quad 15-day DL (5/25)
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 15-day DL (5/24)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/28/16 LF Christian Yelich Back "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta Braves
05/28/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Side "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta Braves
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates
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