Sunday, July 31, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Francisco Liriano vs. Matt Garza
The Pittsburgh Pirates head to Miller Park on Sunday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Francisco Liriano for the Pirates and Matt Garza for the Brewers. The Pirates have a 59-41-1 over/under mark and a 49-52-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Brewers are 54-47-0 against the run line and have a 47-47-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Pirates head into this game with a 52-49 record, and they are 23-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Francisco Liriano has a 6-10 record with an ERA of 5.38 and a WHIP of 1.61. He has 109 strikeouts during his 108.2 innings pitched and he has given up 109 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.15. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.55 and they have allowed 339 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the pen while they've been struck out 303 times and walked 140 times this year. As a unit, Pittsburgh has given up 9.13 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.34 hitters per nine. They are 15th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.27. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 925 base hits and 432 earned runs. They have allowed 112 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 349 batters and struck out 744. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.38.
As a team, Pittsburgh is hitting .261, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .247 average on the road. The Pirates have a .410 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .332 which is good for 4th in the league. They rank 9th in baseball with 9.04 hits per contest. Gregory Polanco comes into this game hitting .287 and his on-base percentage is at .361. He has 95 hits this season along with 55 runs scored and 54 runs batted in. He's struck out 76 times and has walked 41 times. Starling Marte is hitting .320 and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 114 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 37. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 79 times. The Pirates have 913 hits, including 186 doubles and 95 home runs. They've stolen 77 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Pittsburgh has walked 321 times this season and they've struck out 840 times as a unit. They've left 729 men on base and have a team OPS of .742. They score 4.61 runs per contest and have scored a total of 466 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 28-25 home mark and a 45-56 overall record. With an ERA of 5.74, Matt Garza has a 1-4 record and a 1.68 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 42.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 56 hits. He has allowed 11.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.44. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 337 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 318 times and walking 139 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.44 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 914 base knocks and 420 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 114 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 348 hitters and struck out 738. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.
As a team, they are batting .246, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Brewers hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.04 hits per contest. Jonathan Lucroy comes into this matchup batting .300 and he has an OBP of .360. He has 101 hits this year along with 48 runs scored and 50 RBI. He's struck out 70 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .321 and he has an OBP of .383. He has collected 104 hits so far while he's scored 50 runs and drove in 46. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 59 times. The Brewers as a unit have 812 base hits, including 154 doubles and 105 homers. They have 100 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 376 times this year and they have struck out 967 times. They've had 686 men left on base and have an OPS of .718. They score 4.04 runs per game and have totaled 408 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 59-41-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 49-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 47-47-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 54-47-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/30/16 C Francisco Cervelli Leg doubtful Saturday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
07/24/16 P Tyler Glasnow Shoulder 15-day DL (7/24)
07/04/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 60-day DL (5/24)
07/29/16 LF Ryan Braun Side "?" Saturday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers
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