Saturday, August 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jameson Taillon vs. Jimmy Nelson
The Pittsburgh Pirates head to Miller Park on Saturday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Jameson Taillon for the Pirates and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has Pittsburgh at -147 and Milwaukee at +137. The over/under is 8.5. The Pirates have a 69-53-3 over/under mark and a 59-66-0 run line record, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Brewers are 66-61-0 against the run line and have a 60-60-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Pirates head into this game with a 64-61 record, and they are 30-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Jameson Taillon has a 3-3 record with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.04. He has 60 strikeouts during his 74 innings pitched and he has given up 67 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.38. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have allowed 397 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the pen while they've been struck out 376 times and walked 171 times this year. As a unit, Pittsburgh has given up 9.05 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 hitters per nine. They are 15th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.08. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 1,130 base hits and 510 earned runs. They have allowed 134 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 413 batters and struck out 925. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.28.
As a team, Pittsburgh is hitting .257, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .245 average on the road. The Pirates have a .401 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .329 which is good for 6th in the league. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.78 hits per contest. Jordy Mercer comes into this game hitting .264 and his on-base percentage is at .342. He has 109 hits this season along with 52 runs scored and 45 runs batted in. He's struck out 65 times and has walked 45 times. Starling Marte is hitting .305 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 135 hits so far while scoring 66 runs and he's driven in 42. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 97 times. The Pirates have 1,097 hits, including 216 doubles and 117 home runs. They've stolen 93 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 37 times. Pittsburgh has walked 408 times this season and they've struck out 1,033 times as a unit. They've left 882 men on base and have a team OPS of .731. They score 4.51 runs per contest and have scored a total of 564 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 36-30 home mark and a 56-71 overall record. With an ERA of 4.26, Jimmy Nelson has a 7-13 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 116 strikeouts over the 148 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 152 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.95. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 426 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 391 times and walking 175 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.35 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,156 base knocks and 539 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 145 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 436 hitters and struck out 918. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.50.
As a team, they are batting .246, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Brewers hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.08 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .317 and he has an OBP of .378. He has 127 hits this year along with 66 runs scored and 74 RBI. He's struck out 73 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Jonathan Villar is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .379. He has collected 139 hits so far while he's scored 69 runs and drove in 45. He has earned a walk 63 times and has punched out 139 times. The Brewers as a unit have 1,026 base hits, including 196 doubles and 142 homers. They have 144 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 43 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 490 times this year and they have struck out 1,203 times. They've had 868 men left on base and have an OPS of .729. They score 4.12 runs per game and have totaled 523 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 69-53-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 59-66-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 60-60-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 66-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/21/16 3B Jung-ho Kang Shoulder 15-day DL (8/20)
07/24/16 P Tyler Glasnow Shoulder 15-day DL (7/24)
07/04/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
08/17/16 P Michael Blazek Forearm 15-day DL (8/14)
08/09/16 P Junior Guerra Elbow 15-day DL (8/4)
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers
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