Tuesday, June 14, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Juan Nicasio vs. Jacob deGrom
The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Citi Field on Tuesday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Juan Nicasio for the Pirates and Jacob deGrom for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at +163 and New York at -173. The over/under was set at 7. The Pirates have a 39-23-1 over/under record and a 29-34-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Mets are 26-36-0 against the run line and have a 30-31-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Pirates head into this matchup with a 32-31 record, including 14-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Juan Nicasio has a 5-5 record with an earned run average of 5.34 and a WHIP of 1.44. He has 60 strikeouts over his 59 innings pitched and he has given up 60 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.38. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.06 and they have given up 200 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen while being struck out 177 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.95 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.24 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 567 base hits and 269 earned runs. They have allowed 74 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 233 batters and struck out 459. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.54.
As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .272, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .260 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.51 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen comes into this game hitting .241 and his on-base percentage is at .321. He has 59 hits this season along with 37 runs scored and 25 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 27 times. Starling Marte is hitting .332 and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 78 hits so far while scoring 33 runs and he's driven in 23. He has walked 7 times and has struck out 54 times. The Pirates have 599 hits, including 119 doubles and 57 home runs. They've stolen 46 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Pittsburgh has walked 224 times this season and they've struck out 506 times as a unit. They've left 496 men on base and have a team OPS of .765. They score 4.76 runs per contest and have scored a total of 300 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 15-12 home record and a 34-28 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.80, Jacob deGrom has a 3-2 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 56 strikeouts over the 61 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 54 hits. He has allowed 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.97. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.01 and they have given up 151 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 200 times and walking 73 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.36 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.77 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.18. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 512 base knocks and 193 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 48 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 157 hitters and struck out 538. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.20.
As a team, they are batting .233, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .216 average at home. The Mets hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.74 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .267 and he has an OBP of .332. He has 60 hits this year along with 22 runs scored and 21 RBI. He's struck out 50 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Neil Walker is hitting .271 and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 56 hits so far while he's scored 25 runs and drove in 25. He has earned a walk 22 times and has punched out 52 times. The Mets as a unit have 480 base hits, including 93 doubles and 83 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. New York as a team has walked 207 times this year and they have struck out 563 times. They've had 430 men left on base and have an OPS of .716. They score 3.69 runs per game and have totaled 229 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 39-23-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 29-34-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 30-31-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 26-36-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/11/16 C Francisco Cervelli Hand 15-day DL (6/10)
06/10/16 P Gerrit Cole Tricep left last game, "?" next start
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 60-day DL (5/24)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates
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