Monday, July 4, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Luis Perdomo vs. Archie Bradley
The San Diego Padres visit Chase Field on Monday to play the Arizona Diamondbacks. The probable starters are Luis Perdomo for the Padres and Archie Bradley for the Diamondbacks. The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +155 and Arizona at -165. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Padres have a 42-37-2 over/under record and a 47-34-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 58% of the time. The Diamondbacks are 38-45-0 against the run line and have a 43-37-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Padres head into this matchup with a 35-46 record, including 15-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Luis Perdomo has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 8.49 and a WHIP of 2.06. He has 48 strikeouts over his 53 innings pitched and he has given up 83 hits so far this season. He has allowed 14.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.45. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have given up 276 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen while being struck out 288 times and walking 126 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.38 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 719 base hits and 370 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 308 batters and struck out 677. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.29.
As a team, San Diego is batting .242, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .244 average away from home. The Padres hold a .392 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.22 hits per game. Wil Myers comes into this game hitting .285 and his on-base percentage is at .351. He has 87 hits this season along with 55 runs scored and 57 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 33 times. Jon Jay is hitting .296 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 80 hits so far while scoring 35 runs and he's driven in 23. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 62 times. The Padres have 666 hits, including 136 doubles and 87 home runs. They've stolen 65 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 21 times. San Diego has walked 222 times this season and they've struck out 725 times as a unit. They've left 503 men on base and have a team OPS of .695. They score 4.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 348 runs so far this year.
Arizona comes into this matchup with a 14-29 home record and a 37-46 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.50, Archie Bradley has a 3-3 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 53 strikeouts over the 52 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 47 hits. He has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.57. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 275 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Diamondbacks bullpen while being struck out 237 times and walking 122 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 773 base knocks and 386 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 97 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a staff has walked 292 hitters and struck out 648. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.
As a team, they are batting .269, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .263 average at home. The Diamondbacks hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.39 hits per contest. Paul Goldschmidt comes into this matchup batting .294 and he has an OBP of .421. He has 86 hits this year along with 45 runs scored and 54 RBI. He's struck out 81 times and has walked on 63 occasions. Jean Segura is hitting .310 and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 101 hits so far while he's scored 47 runs and drove in 34. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 48 times. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 779 base hits, including 144 doubles and 98 homers. They have 56 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Arizona as a team has walked 241 times this year and they have struck out 736 times. They've had 582 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They score 4.54 runs per game and have totaled 377 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 42-37-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 47-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 43-37-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 38-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11), expected to be activated & start Sunday vs. New York Yankees
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
07/03/16 LF Rickie Weeks Personal probable Sunday vs. San Francisco Giants
07/02/16 SS Nick Ahmed Personal expected to miss Sunday vs. San Francisco Giants
07/01/16 P Zack Greinke Oblique left last game, expected to miss start Tuesday vs. San Diego Padres
06/24/16 CF Socrates Brito Toe 15-day DL (6/23)
06/20/16 RF David Peralta Back 15-day DL (6/19)
06/12/16 CF Chris Owings Foot 15-day DL (6/6)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 15-day DL (5/26)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2), out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks