Wednesday, June 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Erik Johnson vs. Mike Wright
The San Diego Padres head to Oriole Park on Wednesday to take on the Baltimore Orioles. The probable pitchers are Erik Johnson for the Padres and Mike Wright for the Orioles. The opening line for this game has San Diego at +185 and Baltimore at -200. The over/under is 8. The Padres have a 36-33-2 over/under mark and a 42-29-0 run line record, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Orioles are 39-30-0 against the run line and have a 34-32-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.
The Padres head into this game with a 29-42 record, and they are 11-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Erik Johnson has a 0-4 record with an ERA of 7.66 and a WHIP of 1.79. He has 16 strikeouts during his 22.1 innings pitched and he has given up 30 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 12.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 8.85. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.52 and they have allowed 245 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the pen while they've been struck out 255 times and walked 111 times this year. As a unit, San Diego has given up 8.88 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.33 hitters per nine. They are 24th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.50. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 631 base hits and 320 earned runs. They have allowed 78 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 275 batters and struck out 592. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.
As a team, San Diego is hitting .241, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .242 average on the road. The Padres have a .387 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .296 which is good for 29th in the league. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.2 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .336. He has 79 hits this season along with 46 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 20 times. Jon Jay is hitting .296 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 80 hits so far while scoring 35 runs and he's driven in 23. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 62 times. The Padres have 582 hits, including 117 doubles and 73 home runs. They've stolen 47 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. San Diego has walked 178 times this season and they've struck out 639 times as a unit. They've left 438 men on base and have a team OPS of .683. They score 4.1 runs per contest and have scored a total of 291 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this game with a 26-12 home mark and a 40-29 overall record. With an ERA of 6.12, Mike Wright has a 3-4 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 46 strikeouts over the 64.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 73 hits. He has allowed 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.5. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.00 and they have given up 218 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 213 times and walking 87 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.62 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 621 base knocks and 286 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 223 hitters and struck out 517. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.28.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .267 average at home. The Orioles hold a .459 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 9.03 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .317 and he has an OBP of .380. He has 86 hits this year along with 50 runs scored and 42 RBI. He's struck out 53 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .281 and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 77 hits so far while he's scored 38 runs and drove in 51. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 78 times. The Orioles as a unit have 623 base hits, including 131 doubles and 107 homers. They have 12 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 212 times this year and they have struck out 588 times. They've had 459 men left on base and have an OPS of .787. They score 4.81 runs per game and have totaled 332 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 36-33-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 42-29-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 34-32-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 39-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
06/21/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm "?" Tuesday vs. Baltimore Orioles
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
06/18/16 SS Manny Machado Suspension expected to miss next 4 games
06/14/16 P Vance Worley Groin 15-day DL (6/13)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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