Monday, May 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Cesar Vargas vs. Jon Lester
The San Diego Padres visit Wrigley Field on Monday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Cesar Vargas for the Padres and Jon Lester for the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +237 and Chicago at -260. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Padres have a 15-15-1 over/under record and a 18-13-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 58% of the time. The Cubs are 22-7-0 against the run line and have a 18-9-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 76% of the time.
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The Padres head into this matchup with a 13-18 record, including 5-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Cesar Vargas has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 1.10 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 12 strikeouts over his 16.1 innings pitched and he has given up 13 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.24. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.98 and they have given up 104 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen while being struck out 97 times and walking 42 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.45 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.28 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 259 base hits and 126 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 117 batters and struck out 254. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.
As a team, San Diego is batting .237, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .251 average away from home. The Padres hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 7.9 hits per game. Wil Myers comes into this game hitting .282 and his on-base percentage is at .316. He has 35 hits this season along with 17 runs scored and 16 runs batted in. He's struck out 33 times and has walked 7 times. Jon Jay is hitting .276 and he has an on-base percentage of .331. He has totaled 34 hits so far while scoring 15 runs and he's driven in 13. He has walked 9 times and has struck out 32 times. The Padres have 245 hits, including 48 doubles and 24 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. San Diego has walked 80 times this season and they've struck out 292 times as a unit. They've left 195 men on base and have a team OPS of .654. They score 3.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 113 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 10-3 home record and a 23-6 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.58, Jon Lester has a 3-1 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 38 strikeouts over the 40 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 33 hits. He has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.15. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.31 and they have given up 48 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .183 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 90 times and walking 27 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.31 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.87 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.50. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 183 base knocks and 73 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 20 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 78 hitters and struck out 256. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.01 while their FIP as a staff is 3.07.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .233 average at home. The Cubs hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .368 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.83 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .267 and he has an OBP of .417. He has 28 hits this year along with 26 runs scored and 28 RBI. He's struck out 17 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Kris Bryant is hitting .288 and he has an OBP of .378. He has collected 32 hits so far while he's scored 23 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 28 times. The Cubs as a unit have 256 base hits, including 59 doubles and 36 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. Chicago as a team has walked 153 times this year and they have struck out 224 times. They've had 230 men left on base and have an OPS of .811. They score 6.21 runs per game and have totaled 180 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 15-15-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 18-13-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 18-9-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 22-7-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
04/23/16 3B Alexi Amarista Hamstring 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 15-day DL (4/18)
04/11/16 3B Yangervis Solarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/10)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/08/16 P Matt Thornton Achilles 15-day DL (4/4)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
05/06/16 CF Matt Szczur Hamstring 15-day DL
04/28/16 C Miguel Montero Back 15-day DL (4/25)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Padres
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