Saturday, June 25, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Drew Pomeranz vs. Brandon Finnegan
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The San Diego Padres visit Great American Ball Park on Saturday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Drew Pomeranz for the Padres and Brandon Finnegan for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +107 and Cincinnati at -117. The over/under was set at 9. The Padres have a 38-34-2 over/under record and a 44-30-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 60% of the time. The Reds are 38-35-0 against the run line and have a 41-26-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Padres head into this matchup with a 31-43 record, including 13-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Drew Pomeranz has a 6-7 record with an earned run average of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.17. He has 96 strikeouts over his 81 innings pitched and he has given up 57 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.44. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 251 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen while being struck out 269 times and walking 115 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.91 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.37 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 659 base hits and 337 earned runs. They have allowed 83 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 286 batters and struck out 619. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.30.
As a team, San Diego is batting .242, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .244 average away from home. The Padres hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.24 hits per game. Wil Myers comes into this game hitting .284 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 80 hits this season along with 47 runs scored and 45 runs batted in. He's struck out 62 times and has walked 24 times. Jon Jay is hitting .296 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 80 hits so far while scoring 35 runs and he's driven in 23. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 62 times. The Padres have 610 hits, including 121 doubles and 76 home runs. They've stolen 53 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. San Diego has walked 193 times this season and they've struck out 664 times as a unit. They've left 463 men on base and have a team OPS of .686. They score 4.19 runs per contest and have scored a total of 310 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 17-20 home record and a 28-45 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.81, Brandon Finnegan has a 3-5 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 59 strikeouts over the 87.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 75 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.95. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.03 and they have given up 285 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 224 times and walking 143 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.05 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.35. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 683 base knocks and 384 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 119 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 317 hitters and struck out 506. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.55 while their FIP as a staff is 5.58.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .239 average at home. The Reds hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.96 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .282 and he has an OBP of .324. He has 68 hits this year along with 40 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 35 times and has walked on 15 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .281 and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 71 hits so far while he's scored 43 runs and drove in 55. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 57 times. The Reds as a unit have 580 base hits, including 125 doubles and 85 homers. They have 49 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 184 times this year and they have struck out 616 times. They've had 395 men left on base and have an OPS of .705. They score 4.34 runs per game and have totaled 317 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 38-34-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 44-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 41-26-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 38-35-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
06/23/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm "?" Friday vs. Cincinnati Reds
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 1B Joey Votto Illness "?" Friday vs. San Diego Padres
06/22/16 P Blake Wood Personal out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres
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