Friday, April 8, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Colin Rea vs. Jordan Lyles
The San Diego Padres visit Coors Field on Friday to play the Colorado Rockies. The probable starters are Colin Rea for the Padres and Jordan Lyles for the Rockies. The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +135 and Colorado at -145. The over/under was set at 11. The Padres had a 93-62-7 over/under record last season and a 76-86-0 run line mark, meaning they covered 47% of the time. The Rockies were 83-79-0 against the run line and had a 84-74-4 over/under record. They covered the spread 51% of the time.
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The Padres head into this matchup coming off a 74 - 88 season, including 35-46 on the road. Starting pitcher Colin Rea had a 2 - 2 record with an earned run average of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.26. He had 26 strikeouts over his 31.2 innings pitched and he also gave up 29 hits over that time period. He allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.45. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.02 and they gave up 444 base hits on the year. Teams hit .236 against the bullpen while being struck out 503 times and walking 184 times last season. As a team, San Diego allowed 8.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine. They were 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Padres pitchers collectively gave up 1,371 base hits and 655 earned runs last year. They allowed 171 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff walked 516 batters and struck out 1,393. They walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit was 3.93.
As a team, San Diego batted .243, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .239 average away from home. The Padres held a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300 which was good for 30th in baseball. They ranked 30th in baseball with 8.18 hits per game. Matt Kemp hit .265 last season and his on-base percentage was at .312. He had 158 hits last season along with 80 runs scored and 100 runs batted in. He struck out 147 times and walked 39 times. Jon Jay hit .210 and he had an on-base percentage of .306 last year. He totaled 44 hits while scoring 25 runs and he drove in 10. He walked 19 times and struck out 36 times. The Padres had 1,324 hits, including 260 doubles, 36 triples, and 148 home runs. They stole 82 bases while they were thrown out stealing 29 times. San Diego walked 426 times last season and they struck out 1,327 times as a unit. They left 1,028 men on base and had a team OPS of .685. They scored 4.01 runs per contest and scored a total of 650 runs last season.
Colorado comes into this matchup after having a 36-45 home record and a 68 - 94 overall mark last year. With an earned run average last season of 5.14, Jordan Lyles will come into this game after holding a 2 - 5 record and a 1.49 WHIP. He had 30 strikeouts over the 49 innings he pitched during which he gave up 54 hits. He allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.79. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.70 and they gave up 595 base hits last year. Teams hit .266 against the Rockies bullpen while being struck out 491 times and walking 249 times last season. As a team, Colorado allowed 9.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.02 batters per nine. They were 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.04. The Rockies pitchers as a team surrendered 1,579 base knocks and 799 earned runs last season. They gave up 183 home runs last year and they gave up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a staff walked 579 hitters and struck out 1,112. They gave up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they struck out 7 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.51 while their FIP as a staff was 4.56.
As a team, they hit .265, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .302 average at home. The Rockies held a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which was good for 15th in baseball. They ranked 6th in baseball with 9.13 hits per contest. Carlos Gonzalez batted .271 last season and he had an OBP of .325. He had 150 hits last year along with 87 runs scored and 97 RBI. He struck out 133 times and walked on 46 occasions. Nolan Arenado hit .287 and he had an OBP of .323. He collected 177 hits last year while he scored 97 runs and drove in 130. He earned a walk 34 times and punched out 110 times. The Rockies as a unit had 1,479 base hits last year, including 274 doubles, 49 triples, and 186 homers. They had 97 stolen bases while they were thrown out 43 times. Colorado as a team walked 388 times last year and they struck out 1,283 times. They had 1,016 men left on base and had an OPS of .748. They scored 4.55 runs per game and totaled 737 runs last season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres were 93-62-7 against the over/under last season
The San Diego Padres were 76-86-0 against the run line last season
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies were 84-74-4 against the over/under last season
The Colorado Rockies were 83-79-0 against the run line last season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jason Motte Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Gray Abdominal Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Anderson Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Matzek Personal Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/03/16 2B Daniel Descalso Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rockies
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