Saturday, June 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Erik Johnson vs. Tyler Chatwood
The San Diego Padres visit Coors Field on Saturday to play the Colorado Rockies. The probable starters are Erik Johnson for the Padres and Tyler Chatwood for the Rockies. The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +199 and Colorado at -215. The over/under was set at 12.5. The Padres have a 30-30-1 over/under record and a 37-24-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 61% of the time. The Rockies are 32-28-0 against the run line and have a 30-29-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Padres head into this matchup with a 25-36 record, including 10-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Erik Johnson has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 6.94 and a WHIP of 1.71. He has 11 strikeouts over his 11.2 innings pitched and he has given up 14 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 8.36. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.79 and they have given up 210 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 213 times and walking 100 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.24 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 539 base hits and 273 earned runs. They have allowed 64 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 243 batters and struck out 505. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.
As a team, San Diego is batting .237, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .242 average away from home. The Padres hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.08 hits per game. Wil Myers comes into this game hitting .294 and his on-base percentage is at .327. He has 69 hits this season along with 38 runs scored and 33 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 13 times. Jon Jay is hitting .291 and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 68 hits so far while scoring 30 runs and he's driven in 18. He has walked 14 times and has struck out 54 times. The Padres have 493 hits, including 96 doubles and 63 home runs. They've stolen 40 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. San Diego has walked 150 times this season and they've struck out 555 times as a unit. They've left 374 men on base and have a team OPS of .673. They score 4.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 245 runs so far this year.
Colorado comes into this matchup with a 11-15 home record and a 28-32 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.79, Tyler Chatwood has a 7-4 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 49 strikeouts over the 77.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 66 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.84. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 198 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Rockies bullpen while being struck out 172 times and walking 61 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.36 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.96. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 561 base knocks and 292 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 67 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a staff has walked 175 hitters and struck out 435. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .297 average at home. The Rockies hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.4 hits per contest. Carlos Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .296 and he has an OBP of .346. He has 67 hits this year along with 39 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 53 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Nolan Arenado is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 68 hits so far while he's scored 44 runs and drove in 51. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 27 times. The Rockies as a unit have 565 base hits, including 124 doubles and 76 homers. They have 23 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Colorado as a team has walked 178 times this year and they have struck out 470 times. They've had 394 men left on base and have an OPS of .788. They score 5.05 runs per game and have totaled 303 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 30-30-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 37-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 30-29-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 32-28-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
06/04/16 C Tony Wolters Concussion 7-day DL (6/3)
05/20/16 P Christian Bergman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
04/10/16 P Adam Ottavino Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Anderson Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres
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