Sunday, July 10, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Christian Friedrich vs. Kenta Maeda
The San Diego Padres head to Dodger Stadium on Sunday to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers. The probable pitchers are Christian Friedrich for the Padres and Kenta Maeda for the Dodgers. The opening line for this game has San Diego at +203 and Los Angeles at -220. The over/under is 8. The Padres have a 47-38-2 over/under mark and a 50-37-0 run line record, meaning they cover 58% of the time. The Dodgers are 38-49-0 against the run line and have a 42-39-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
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The Padres head into this game with a 38-49 record, and they are 18-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Christian Friedrich has a 4-4 record with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.51. He has 48 strikeouts during his 55 innings pitched and he has given up 56 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.38. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.52 and they have allowed 296 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the pen while they've been struck out 305 times and walked 135 times this year. As a unit, San Diego has given up 8.98 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.34 hitters per nine. They are 25th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.61. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 778 base hits and 399 earned runs. They have allowed 100 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 327 batters and struck out 722. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.38.
As a team, San Diego is hitting .247, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .254 average on the road. The Padres have a .403 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .306 which is good for 26th in the league. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.43 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this game hitting .293 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 97 hits this season along with 61 runs scored and 60 runs batted in. He's struck out 72 times and has walked 36 times. Jon Jay is hitting .296 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 80 hits so far while scoring 35 runs and he's driven in 23. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 62 times. The Padres have 733 hits, including 151 doubles and 98 home runs. They've stolen 71 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. San Diego has walked 239 times this season and they've struck out 782 times as a unit. They've left 541 men on base and have a team OPS of .709. They score 4.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 389 runs so far this year.
Los Angeles comes into this game with a 28-18 home mark and a 49-40 overall record. With an ERA of 3.07, Kenta Maeda has a 7-6 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 94 strikeouts over the 96.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 80 hits. He has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.56. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.89 and they have given up 206 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .194 against the Dodgers bullpen while being struck out 292 times and walking 96 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 9.45 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.26 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 657 base knocks and 308 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 83 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 246 hitters and struck out 836. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 3.48.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Dodgers hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9.15 hits per contest. Adrian Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .285 and he has an OBP of .368. He has 87 hits this year along with 31 runs scored and 42 RBI. He's struck out 64 times and has walked on 40 occasions. Corey Seager is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 102 hits so far while he's scored 59 runs and drove in 41. He has earned a walk 33 times and has punched out 75 times. The Dodgers as a unit have 716 base hits, including 141 doubles and 98 homers. They have 25 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 304 times this year and they have struck out 688 times. They've had 597 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They score 4.21 runs per game and have totaled 375 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 47-38-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 50-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 42-39-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 38-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
07/09/16 C Derek Norris Quad injured last game, doubtful Saturday vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
Los Angeles Dodgers
07/01/16 CF Joc Pederson Shoulder 15-day DL (6/29)
06/30/16 P Clayton Kershaw Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 LF Enrique Hernandez Ribs 15-day DL (6/28)
05/31/16 P Alex Wood Tricep 60-day DL (5/31)
05/24/16 P Chin-Hui Tsao Tricep 60-day DL (5/22)
05/03/16 P Josh Ravin Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 60-day DL (4/23)
04/05/16 P Frankie Montas Ribs 60-day DL (2/20)
04/04/16 P Brett Anderson Back 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Dodgers
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