Thursday, May 12, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: James Shields vs. Jimmy Nelson
The San Diego Padres visit Miller Park on Thursday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are James Shields for the Padres and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +125 and Milwaukee at -135. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Padres have a 16-16-1 over/under record and a 20-13-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 61% of the time. The Brewers are 15-18-0 against the run line and have a 22-9-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Padres head into this matchup with a 13-20 record, including 5-9 on the road. Starting pitcher James Shields has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 34 strikeouts over his 45 innings pitched and he has given up 40 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.72. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.86 and they have given up 109 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the bullpen while being struck out 104 times and walking 47 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.66 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.08 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 282 base hits and 138 earned runs. They have allowed 34 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 126 batters and struck out 263. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.
As a team, San Diego is batting .236, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Padres hold a .364 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 7.91 hits per game. Wil Myers comes into this game hitting .271 and his on-base percentage is at .303. He has 36 hits this season along with 17 runs scored and 16 runs batted in. He's struck out 36 times and has walked 7 times. Jon Jay is hitting .290 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 38 hits so far while scoring 15 runs and he's driven in 14. He has walked 9 times and has struck out 33 times. The Padres have 261 hits, including 52 doubles and 27 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. San Diego has walked 85 times this season and they've struck out 315 times as a unit. They've left 207 men on base and have a team OPS of .658. They score 3.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 123 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 8-9 home record and a 14-19 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.74, Jimmy Nelson has a 4-2 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 36 strikeouts over the 43.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 36 hits. He has allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.15. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.49 and they have given up 125 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 100 times and walking 59 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.54 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.95 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.48. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 335 base knocks and 174 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 49 home runs this year and they give up 1.5 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 135 hitters and struck out 221. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.64 while their FIP as a staff is 5.29.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .269 average at home. The Brewers hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.09 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .368 and he has an OBP of .435. He has 43 hits this year along with 20 runs scored and 26 RBI. He's struck out 19 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .306 and he has an OBP of .370. He has collected 33 hits so far while he's scored 17 runs and drove in 13. He has earned a walk 10 times and has punched out 20 times. The Brewers as a unit have 267 base hits, including 60 doubles and 39 homers. They have 22 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 134 times this year and they have struck out 298 times. They've had 219 men left on base and have an OPS of .747. They score 4.67 runs per game and have totaled 154 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 16-16-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 20-13-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 22-9-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 15-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
05/11/16 SS Alexei Ramirez Hamstring probable Wednesday vs. Chicago Cubs
05/10/16 P Andrew Cashner Leg probable for next scheduled start
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/23/16 3B Alexi Amarista Hamstring 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 15-day DL (4/18)
04/11/16 3B Yangervis Solarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/10)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/08/16 P Matt Thornton Achilles 15-day DL (4/4)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 2B Scooter Gennett Oblique 15-day DL (4/28)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres
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