Sunday, May 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Cesar Vargas vs. Zach Davies
The San Diego Padres visit Miller Park on Sunday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Cesar Vargas for the Padres and Zach Davies for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +128 and Milwaukee at -138. The over/under was set at 9. The Padres have a 17-19-1 over/under record and a 24-13-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 65% of the time. The Brewers are 16-20-0 against the run line and have a 22-12-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
The Padres head into this matchup with a 16-21 record, including 8-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Cesar Vargas has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.72. He has 13 strikeouts over his 20.1 innings pitched and he has given up 23 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.36. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 116 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 115 times and walking 52 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.23 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 310 base hits and 143 earned runs. They have allowed 34 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 145 batters and struck out 300. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.06.
As a team, San Diego is batting .231, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Padres hold a .356 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .289 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.68 hits per game. Wil Myers comes into this game hitting .265 and his on-base percentage is at .295. He has 39 hits this season along with 20 runs scored and 16 runs batted in. He's struck out 40 times and has walked 7 times. Jon Jay is hitting .280 and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 40 hits so far while scoring 15 runs and he's driven in 14. He has walked 11 times and has struck out 35 times. The Padres have 284 hits, including 55 doubles and 30 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. San Diego has walked 94 times this season and they've struck out 348 times as a unit. They've left 228 men on base and have a team OPS of .645. They score 3.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 134 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 9-10 home record and a 15-21 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.29, Zach Davies has a 1-3 record and a 1.89 WHIP. He has 14 strikeouts over the 24.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 33 hits. He has allowed 12.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.85. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 130 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 108 times and walking 59 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.98 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.19. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 350 base knocks and 180 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 51 home runs this year and they give up 1.5 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 139 hitters and struck out 242. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.57 while their FIP as a staff is 5.09.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .268 average at home. The Brewers hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.06 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .367 and he has an OBP of .434. He has 47 hits this year along with 20 runs scored and 27 RBI. He's struck out 20 times and has walked on 15 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .303 and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 36 hits so far while he's scored 17 runs and drove in 13. He has earned a walk 11 times and has punched out 23 times. The Brewers as a unit have 290 base hits, including 61 doubles and 39 homers. They have 22 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 145 times this year and they have struck out 330 times. They've had 241 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They score 4.36 runs per game and have totaled 157 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 17-19-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 24-13-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 22-12-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 16-20-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
05/13/16 P Andrew Cashner Hamstring 15-day DL (5/9)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/23/16 3B Alexi Amarista Hamstring 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/11/16 3B Yangervis Solarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/10)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/08/16 P Matt Thornton Achilles 15-day DL (4/4)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers
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