Monday, July 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Christian Friedrich vs. Mike Leake
The San Diego Padres visit Busch Stadium on Monday to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Christian Friedrich for the Padres and Mike Leake for the Cardinals. The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +164 and St. Louis at -174. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Padres have a 48-41-2 over/under record and a 53-38-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 58% of the time. The Cardinals are 47-43-0 against the run line and have a 46-39-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Padres head into this matchup with a 40-51 record, including 18-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Christian Friedrich has a 4-5 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.52. He has 55 strikeouts over his 60 innings pitched and he has given up 63 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.35. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 306 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen while being struck out 317 times and walking 137 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 9.02 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.34 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 816 base hits and 411 earned runs. They have allowed 105 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 331 batters and struck out 755. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.
As a team, San Diego is batting .244, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Padres hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.31 hits per game. Wil Myers comes into this game hitting .287 and his on-base percentage is at .356. He has 99 hits this season along with 64 runs scored and 61 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 39 times. Matt Kemp is hitting .255 and he has an on-base percentage of .277. He has totaled 93 hits so far while scoring 45 runs and he's driven in 60. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 87 times. The Padres have 756 hits, including 154 doubles and 104 home runs. They've stolen 76 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. San Diego has walked 252 times this season and they've struck out 831 times as a unit. They've left 560 men on base and have a team OPS of .706. They score 4.44 runs per contest and have scored a total of 404 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this matchup with a 20-27 home record and a 47-43 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.14, Mike Leake has a 6-7 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 76 strikeouts over the 111 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 117 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.01. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 209 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 254 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.42 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.78 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 752 base knocks and 343 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 255 hitters and struck out 694. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.77.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9.03 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this matchup batting .298 and he has an OBP of .420. He has 85 hits this year along with 56 runs scored and 53 RBI. He's struck out 61 times and has walked on 58 occasions. Yadier Molina is hitting .258 and he has an OBP of .327. He has collected 77 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 38 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 814 base hits, including 171 doubles and 122 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 313 times this year and they have struck out 697 times. They've had 648 men left on base and have an OPS of .783. They score 5.18 runs per game and have totaled 466 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 48-41-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 53-38-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 46-39-5 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 47-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
07/15/16 LF Melvin Upton Jr. Personal placed on bereavement list
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
St. Louis Cardinals
07/09/16 P Michael Wacha Heel injured last game, probable next start
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
07/07/16 3B Matt Carpenter Oblique 15-day DL (7/7)
07/06/16 1B Brandon Moss Ankle 15-day DL (7/5)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Padres
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