Monday, July 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Colin Rea vs. Aaron Sanchez
The San Diego Padres head to Rogers Centre on Monday to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable pitchers are Colin Rea for the Padres and Aaron Sanchez for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this game has San Diego at +207 and Toronto at -225. The over/under is 9. The Padres have a 50-46-2 over/under mark and a 58-40-0 run line record, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Blue Jays are 51-47-0 against the run line and have a 39-54-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Padres head into this game with a 42-56 record, and they are 19-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Colin Rea has a 5-4 record with an ERA of 5.01 and a WHIP of 1.46. He has 72 strikeouts during his 93.1 innings pitched and he has given up 96 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.81. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have allowed 329 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the pen while they've been struck out 335 times and walked 144 times this year. As a unit, San Diego has given up 8.98 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.23 hitters per nine. They are 25th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.55. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 871 base hits and 441 earned runs. They have allowed 117 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 357 batters and struck out 798. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.41.
As a team, San Diego is hitting .242, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .242 average on the road. The Padres have a .404 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .302 which is good for 28th in the league. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.22 hits per contest. Matt Kemp comes into this game hitting .260 and his on-base percentage is at .280. He has 101 hits this season along with 50 runs scored and 67 runs batted in. He's struck out 93 times and has walked 13 times. Wil Myers is hitting .274 and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 101 hits so far while scoring 64 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 40 times and has struck out 90 times. The Padres have 806 hits, including 166 doubles and 115 home runs. They've stolen 79 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. San Diego has walked 264 times this season and they've struck out 902 times as a unit. They've left 600 men on base and have a team OPS of .705. They score 4.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 427 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this game with a 27-22 home mark and a 54-44 overall record. With an ERA of 2.87, Aaron Sanchez has a 10-1 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 108 strikeouts over the 125.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 110 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.44. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.14 and they have given up 268 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 258 times and walking 75 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.42 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.71 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.87. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 828 base knocks and 380 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 115 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 268 hitters and struck out 758. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .266 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.6 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this matchup batting .264 and he has an OBP of .355. He has 95 hits this year along with 60 runs scored and 86 RBI. He's struck out 85 times and has walked on 49 occasions. Josh Donaldson is hitting .305 and he has an OBP of .419. He has collected 111 hits so far while he's scored 85 runs and drove in 70. He has earned a walk 67 times and has punched out 72 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 843 base hits, including 171 doubles and 141 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Toronto as a team has walked 373 times this year and they have struck out 811 times. They've had 676 men left on base and have an OPS of .771. They score 4.94 runs per game and have totaled 484 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 50-46-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 58-40-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 39-54-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 51-47-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
Toronto Blue Jays
07/23/16 C Russell Martin Knee "?" Sunday vs. Seattle Mariners
07/02/16 2B Ryan Goins Forearm 15-day DL (7/2)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
06/17/16 RF Jose Bautista Toe 15-day DL (6/17)
Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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