Wednesday, July 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Luis Perdomo vs. Marco Estrada
The San Diego Padres visit Rogers Centre on Wednesday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Luis Perdomo for the Padres and Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +216 and Toronto at -235. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Padres have a 51-47-2 over/under record and a 59-41-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Blue Jays are 53-47-0 against the run line and have a 39-56-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Padres head into this matchup with a 43-57 record, including 20-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Luis Perdomo has a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 6.93 and a WHIP of 1.84. He has 61 strikeouts over his 76.2 innings pitched and he has given up 113 hits so far this season. He has allowed 13.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.83. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 336 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen while being struck out 340 times and walking 145 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.16 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 889 base hits and 451 earned runs. They have allowed 118 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 363 batters and struck out 807. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.
As a team, San Diego is batting .242, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Padres hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.23 hits per game. Matt Kemp comes into this game hitting .260 and his on-base percentage is at .281. He has 103 hits this season along with 51 runs scored and 67 runs batted in. He's struck out 95 times and has walked 14 times. Wil Myers is hitting .272 and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 102 hits so far while scoring 65 runs and he's driven in 63. He has walked 42 times and has struck out 91 times. The Padres have 823 hits, including 170 doubles and 118 home runs. They've stolen 79 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. San Diego has walked 271 times this season and they've struck out 918 times as a unit. They've left 612 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 439 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 29-22 home record and a 56-44 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.94, Marco Estrada has a 5-4 record and a 1.01 WHIP. He has 102 strikeouts over the 110.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 71 hits. He has allowed 5.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.08. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 270 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 263 times and walking 76 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.74 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 834 base knocks and 382 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 116 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 275 hitters and struck out 776. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .265 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.56 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this matchup batting .262 and he has an OBP of .354. He has 96 hits this year along with 61 runs scored and 87 RBI. He's struck out 86 times and has walked on 50 occasions. Josh Donaldson is hitting .301 and he has an OBP of .413. He has collected 112 hits so far while he's scored 85 runs and drove in 71. He has earned a walk 67 times and has punched out 73 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 856 base hits, including 176 doubles and 142 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Toronto as a team has walked 379 times this year and they have struck out 821 times. They've had 686 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They score 4.9 runs per game and have totaled 490 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 51-47-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 59-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 39-56-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 53-47-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
Toronto Blue Jays
07/02/16 2B Ryan Goins Forearm 15-day DL (7/2)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Josh's Pick: Take the Padres
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