Saturday, July 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Edwin Jackson vs. Max Scherzer
The San Diego Padres visit Nationals Park on Saturday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Edwin Jackson for the Padres and Max Scherzer for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +255 and Washington at -285. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Padres have a 50-44-2 over/under record and a 56-40-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 58% of the time. The Nationals are 50-46-0 against the run line and have a 47-43-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Padres head into this matchup with a 41-55 record, including 18-30 on the road. Starting pitcher Edwin Jackson has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.47. He has 11 strikeouts over his 17 innings pitched and he has given up 14 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.09. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 325 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 329 times and walking 142 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 9.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.29 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 857 base hits and 435 earned runs. They have allowed 115 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 351 batters and struck out 788. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.
As a team, San Diego is batting .243, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .245 average away from home. The Padres hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.27 hits per game. Matt Kemp comes into this game hitting .255 and his on-base percentage is at .276. He has 97 hits this season along with 48 runs scored and 63 runs batted in. He's struck out 91 times and has walked 13 times. Wil Myers is hitting .277 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 101 hits so far while scoring 64 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 40 times and has struck out 87 times. The Padres have 794 hits, including 164 doubles and 112 home runs. They've stolen 79 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. San Diego has walked 261 times this season and they've struck out 881 times as a unit. They've left 590 men on base and have a team OPS of .706. They score 4.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 420 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 30-18 home record and a 57-39 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.94, Max Scherzer has a 10-6 record and a 0.96 WHIP. He has 171 strikeouts over the 134.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 94 hits. He has allowed 6.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.51. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.91 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 287 times and walking 86 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.59 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.43 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.23. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 739 base knocks and 314 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 92 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 266 hitters and struck out 918. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.44.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Nationals hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.51 hits per contest. Daniel Murphy comes into this matchup batting .350 and he has an OBP of .388. He has 122 hits this year along with 55 runs scored and 69 RBI. He's struck out 39 times and has walked on 18 occasions. Bryce Harper is hitting .250 and he has an OBP of .391. He has collected 78 hits so far while he's scored 52 runs and drove in 55. He has earned a walk 74 times and has punched out 64 times. The Nationals as a unit have 817 base hits, including 154 doubles and 132 homers. They have 64 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. Washington as a team has walked 341 times this year and they have struck out 744 times. They've had 654 men left on base and have an OPS of .753. They score 4.68 runs per game and have totaled 449 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 50-44-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 56-40-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 47-43-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 50-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
07/08/16 1B Ryan Zimmerman Ribs 15-day DL (7/7)
07/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (7/3)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Josh's Pick: Take the Padres
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