Saturday, September 3, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Madison Bumgarner vs. Jake Arrieta
The San Francisco Giants visit Wrigley Field on Saturday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Madison Bumgarner for the Giants and Jake Arrieta for the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has San Francisco at +139 and Chicago at -149. The over/under was set at 8. The Giants have a 63-65-5 over/under record and a 62-71-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Cubs are 72-61-0 against the run line and have a 62-64-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Giants head into this matchup with a 72-61 record, including 34-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Madison Bumgarner has a 13-8 record with an earned run average of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.04. He has 207 strikeouts over his 187.2 innings pitched and he has given up 147 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.26. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have given up 362 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen while being struck out 335 times and walking 136 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 8.33 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.92 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Giants pitchers have collectively given up 1,108 base hits and 497 earned runs. They have allowed 136 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a pitching staff has walked 367 batters and struck out 1,055. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.87.
As a team, San Francisco is batting .260, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .251 average away from home. The Giants hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 8.95 hits per game. Brandon Crawford comes into this game hitting .274 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 127 hits this season along with 56 runs scored and 77 runs batted in. He's struck out 95 times and has walked 47 times. Buster Posey is hitting .294 and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 126 hits so far while scoring 72 runs and he's driven in 62. He has walked 54 times and has struck out 53 times. The Giants have 1,190 hits, including 234 doubles and 110 home runs. They've stolen 65 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. San Francisco has walked 478 times this season and they've struck out 904 times as a unit. They've left 981 men on base and have a team OPS of .736. They score 4.49 runs per contest and have scored a total of 597 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 49-19 home record and a 86-47 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.84, Jake Arrieta has a 16-5 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 161 strikeouts over the 168 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 111 hits. He has allowed 5.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.47. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 312 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 424 times and walking 166 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.93 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.85 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.10. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 929 base knocks and 418 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 133 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 417 hitters and struck out 1,183. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.12 while their FIP as a staff is 3.78.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Cubs hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.79 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .290 and he has an OBP of .387. He has 141 hits this year along with 80 runs scored and 93 RBI. He's struck out 89 times and has walked on 65 occasions. Kris Bryant is hitting .307 and he has an OBP of .403. He has collected 154 hits so far while he's scored 112 runs and drove in 91. He has earned a walk 67 times and has punched out 128 times. The Cubs as a unit have 1,169 base hits, including 243 doubles and 167 homers. They have 54 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 30 times. Chicago as a team has walked 542 times this year and they have struck out 1,111 times. They've had 1,001 men left on base and have an OPS of .777. They score 5.09 runs per game and have totaled 677 runs so far this season.
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 63-65-5 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 62-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 62-64-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 72-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Francisco Giants
09/01/16 P Matt Cain Back 15-day DL (8/18); expected to be activated Friday
08/29/16 P Derek Law Elbow 15-day DL (8/28)
08/27/16 P Jake Peavy Back 15-day DL (8/21)
08/23/16 LF Gregor Blanco Shoulder 15-day DL (8/22)
07/07/16 P Cory Gearrin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Christopher Heston Oblique 60-day DL (6/29)
08/19/16 P Hector Rondon Tricep 15-day DL (8/17)
08/19/16 P John Lackey Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/12/16 P Pedro Strop Knee 15-day DL (8/11)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Giants
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