Tuesday, May 3, 2016
Great American Ball Park
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Jeff Samardzija vs. Jon Moscot
The San Francisco Giants visit Great American Ball Park on Tuesday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jeff Samardzija for the Giants and Jon Moscot for the Reds. The Giants have a 16-10-0 over/under record and a 12-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Reds are 10-15-0 against the run line and have a 14-9-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.
The Giants head into this matchup with a 13-13 record, including 5-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Jeff Samardzija has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 26 strikeouts over his 32.2 innings pitched and he has given up 31 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.59. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 77 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen while being struck out 63 times and walking 28 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 9.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.99 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Giants pitchers have collectively given up 251 base hits and 117 earned runs. They have allowed 23 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a pitching staff has walked 72 batters and struck out 205. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 3.63.
As a team, San Francisco is batting .267, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Giants hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9 hits per game. Buster Posey comes into this game hitting .284 and his on-base percentage is at .344. He has 23 hits this season along with 12 runs scored and 8 runs batted in. He's struck out 10 times and has walked 8 times. Brandon Belt is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .413. He has totaled 24 hits so far while scoring 13 runs and he's driven in 18. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 16 times. The Giants have 234 hits, including 37 doubles and 27 home runs. They've stolen 11 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. San Francisco has walked 105 times this season and they've struck out 163 times as a unit. They've left 184 men on base and have a team OPS of .769. They score 5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 130 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 8-5 home record and a 10-15 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.02, Jon Moscot has a 0-2 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 6 strikeouts over the 15.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 13 hits. He has allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.54. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.16 and they have given up 91 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 76 times and walking 53 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.47 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.35. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 217 base knocks and 129 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 45 home runs this year and they give up 1.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 115 hitters and struck out 180. They give up a walk 4.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.53 while their FIP as a staff is 5.87.
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .237 average at home. The Reds hold a .375 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.6 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .230 and he has an OBP of .330. He has 20 hits this year along with 7 runs scored and 12 RBI. He's struck out 25 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .256 and he has an OBP of .322. He has collected 20 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 17. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 19 times. The Reds as a unit have 190 base hits, including 48 doubles and 19 homers. They have 19 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 61 times this year and they have struck out 190 times. They've had 137 men left on base and have an OPS of .667. They score 3.72 runs per game and have totaled 93 runs so far this season.
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 16-10-0 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 12-14-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 14-9-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 10-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Francisco Giants
05/02/16 2B Joe Panik Groin doubtful Monday vs. Cincinnati Reds
05/02/16 CF Angel Pagan Hamstring doubtful series vs. Cincinnati Reds
04/22/16 SS Ehire Adrianza Foot 60-day DL (4/15)
04/19/16 P George Kontos Elbow 15-day DL (4/18)
04/15/16 P Sergio Romo Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/28/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder "?" for next scheduled start
04/19/16 P Alfredo Simon Bicep "?" for next scheduled start
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Reds
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks