Tuesday, April 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Johnny Cueto vs. Jimmy Nelson
The San Francisco Giants visit Miller Park on Tuesday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Johnny Cueto for the Giants and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has San Francisco at -135 and Milwaukee at +125. The over/under was set at 8. The Giants had a 79-73-10 over/under record last season and a 92-70-0 run line mark, meaning they covered 57% of the time. The Brewers were 75-87-0 against the run line and had a 81-69-12 over/under record. They covered the spread 46% of the time.
The Giants head into this matchup coming off a 84 - 78 season, including 37-44 on the road. Starting pitcher Johnny Cueto had a 11 - 13 record with an earned run average of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.13. He had 176 strikeouts over his 212 innings pitched and he also gave up 194 hits over that time period. He allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.53. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.33 and they gave up 450 base hits on the year. Teams hit .233 against the bullpen while being struck out 430 times and walking 144 times last season. As a team, San Francisco allowed 8.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.26 batters per nine. They were 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73. The Giants pitchers collectively gave up 1,344 base hits and 597 earned runs last year. They allowed 155 home runs last season and they allowed 1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a pitching staff walked 431 batters and struck out 1,165. They walked 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit was 3.91.
As a team, San Francisco batted .267, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .269 average away from home. The Giants held a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which was good for 3rd in baseball. They ranked 5th in baseball with 9.17 hits per game. Buster Posey hit .318 last season and his on-base percentage was at .379. He had 177 hits last season along with 74 runs scored and 95 runs batted in. He struck out 52 times and walked 56 times. Matt Duffy hit .375 and he had an on-base percentage of .444 last year. He totaled 3 hits while scoring 0 runs and he drove in 3. He walked 1 times and struck out 2 times. The Giants had 1,486 hits, including 288 doubles, 39 triples, and 136 home runs. They stole 93 bases while they were thrown out stealing 36 times. San Francisco walked 457 times last season and they struck out 1,159 times as a unit. They left 1,130 men on base and had a team OPS of .732. They scored 4.3 runs per contest and scored a total of 696 runs last season.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup after having a 34-47 home record and a 68 - 94 overall mark last year. With an earned run average last season of 4.11, Jimmy Nelson will come into this game after holding a 11 - 13 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He had 148 strikeouts over the 177.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 163 hits. He allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.1. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.41 and they gave up 472 base hits last year. Teams hit .234 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 548 times and walking 183 times last season. As a team, Milwaukee allowed 8.98 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine. They were 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Brewers pitchers as a team surrendered 1,432 base knocks and 682 earned runs last season. They gave up 176 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff walked 517 hitters and struck out 1,260. They gave up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they struck out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.36 while their FIP as a staff was 4.17.
As a team, they hit .251, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Brewers held a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which was good for 25th in baseball. They ranked 19th in baseball with 8.51 hits per contest. Adam Lind batted .277 last season and he had an OBP of .360. He had 139 hits last year along with 72 runs scored and 87 RBI. He struck out 100 times and walked on 66 occasions. Ryan Braun hit .285 and he had an OBP of .356. He collected 144 hits last year while he scored 87 runs and drove in 84. He earned a walk 54 times and punched out 115 times. The Brewers as a unit had 1,378 base hits last year, including 274 doubles, 34 triples, and 145 homers. They had 84 stolen bases while they were thrown out 29 times. Milwaukee as a team walked 412 times last year and they struck out 1,299 times. They had 1,026 men left on base and had an OPS of .700. They scored 4.04 runs per game and totaled 655 runs last season.
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants were 79-73-10 against the over/under last season
The San Francisco Giants were 92-70-0 against the run line last season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers were 81-69-12 against the over/under last season
The Milwaukee Brewers were 75-87-0 against the run line last season
Injuries to Watch
San Francisco Giants
04/01/16 P Matt Cain Arm out indefinitely
04/03/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/1)
04/02/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder probable next start
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list
04/01/16 P Zachary Jones Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/25)
04/01/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial Injury is on the 60 day disabled list
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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