Thursday, May 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Nate Karns vs. Mike Wright
The Seattle Mariners visit Oriole Park on Thursday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Nate Karns for the Mariners and Mike Wright for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at +112 and Baltimore at -122. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Mariners have a 15-19-4 over/under record and a 19-19-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Orioles are 20-17-0 against the run line and have a 17-18-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
The Mariners head into this matchup with a 22-16 record, including 14-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Nate Karns has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.34. He has 43 strikeouts over his 41 innings pitched and he has given up 37 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.91. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.84 and they have given up 80 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .193 against the bullpen while being struck out 128 times and walking 41 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.28. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 294 base hits and 125 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 113 batters and struck out 324. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit is 3.88.
As a team, Seattle is batting .247, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .271 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.39 hits per game. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .281 and his on-base percentage is at .379. He has 38 hits this season along with 19 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 33 times and has walked 17 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .302 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 48 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 36. He has walked 10 times and has struck out 24 times. The Mariners have 319 hits, including 51 doubles and 52 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Seattle has walked 127 times this season and they've struck out 298 times as a unit. They've left 255 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.61 runs per contest and have scored a total of 175 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 16-7 home record and a 23-14 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.20, Mike Wright has a 2-3 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 36.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 38 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.29. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.53 and they have given up 104 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 112 times and walking 44 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.74 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.70. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 310 base knocks and 135 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 28 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 119 hitters and struck out 282. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 3.73.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .265 average at home. The Orioles hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 8.97 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .327 and he has an OBP of .383. He has 50 hits this year along with 30 runs scored and 25 RBI. He's struck out 25 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 43 hits so far while he's scored 21 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 10 times and has punched out 39 times. The Orioles as a unit have 332 base hits, including 66 doubles and 55 homers. They have 5 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 115 times this year and they have struck out 293 times. They've had 242 men left on base and have an OPS of .786. They score 4.59 runs per game and have totaled 170 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 15-19-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 19-19-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 17-18-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 20-17-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/17/16 P Taijuan Walker Neck expected to start Wednesday vs. Baltimore Orioles
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners
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