Saturday, June 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Rick Porcello
The Seattle Mariners head to Fenway Park on Saturday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The probable pitchers are Wade Miley for the Mariners and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox. The opening line for this game has Seattle at +143 and Boston at -153. The over/under is 9.5. The Mariners have a 32-29-5 over/under mark and a 32-34-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Red Sox are 37-28-0 against the run line and have a 35-25-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.
The Mariners head into this game with a 35-31 record, and they are 20-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 6-3 record with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 58 strikeouts during his 76.2 innings pitched and he has given up 82 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.85. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.16 and they have allowed 168 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the pen while they've been struck out 231 times and walked 77 times this year. As a unit, Seattle has given up 8.28 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.72 hitters per nine. They are 6th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.69. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 547 base hits and 244 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 201 batters and struck out 576. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.07.
As a team, Seattle is hitting .260, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .271 average on the road. The Mariners have a .439 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .331 which is good for 7th in the league. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.97 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .298 and his on-base percentage is at .384. He has 73 hits this season along with 40 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 67 times and has walked 30 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 81 hits so far while scoring 50 runs and he's driven in 51. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 41 times. The Mariners have 592 hits, including 97 doubles and 97 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Seattle has walked 215 times this season and they've struck out 503 times as a unit. They've left 441 men on base and have a team OPS of .769. They score 5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 330 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this game with a 20-14 home mark and a 37-28 overall record. With an ERA of 3.81, Rick Porcello has a 7-2 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 73 strikeouts over the 82.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 72 hits. He has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.13. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 160 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 218 times and walking 84 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.07 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.63 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 521 base knocks and 272 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 73 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 226 hitters and struck out 558. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.
As a team, they are batting .289, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .296 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .478 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .354 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.34 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .352 and he has an OBP of .401. He has 96 hits this year along with 52 runs scored and 45 RBI. He's struck out 44 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .288 and he has an OBP of .338. He has collected 82 hits so far while he's scored 60 runs and drove in 47. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 43 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 672 base hits, including 164 doubles and 80 homers. They have 45 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Boston as a team has walked 223 times this year and they have struck out 476 times. They've had 473 men left on base and have an OPS of .833. They score 5.82 runs per game and have totaled 378 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 32-29-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 32-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 35-25-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 37-28-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/16/16 CF Leonys Martin Hamstring "?" Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
06/16/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot is upgraded to expected to start Sunday vs Boston
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Boston Red Sox
06/16/16 LF Chris Young Quad "?" Friday vs. Seattle Mariners
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
06/05/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (6/2)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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