Sunday, June 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Taijuan Walker vs. David Price
The Seattle Mariners visit Fenway Park on Sunday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Taijuan Walker for the Mariners and David Price for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at +185 and Boston at -200. The over/under was set at 9. The Mariners have a 33-29-5 over/under record and a 33-34-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Red Sox are 37-29-0 against the run line and have a 36-25-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
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The Mariners head into this matchup with a 36-31 record, including 21-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Taijuan Walker has a 3-6 record with an earned run average of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.15. He has 67 strikeouts over his 70.2 innings pitched and he has given up 65 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.62. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.13 and they have given up 170 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the bullpen while being struck out 231 times and walking 77 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.70. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 558 base hits and 248 earned runs. They have allowed 81 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 202 batters and struck out 580. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.06.
As a team, Seattle is batting .260, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .272 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.99 hits per game. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .294 and his on-base percentage is at .382. He has 73 hits this season along with 40 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 31 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .299 and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 83 hits so far while scoring 51 runs and he's driven in 53. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 42 times. The Mariners have 602 hits, including 98 doubles and 100 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Seattle has walked 218 times this season and they've struck out 509 times as a unit. They've left 445 men on base and have a team OPS of .771. They score 5.04 runs per contest and have scored a total of 338 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 20-15 home record and a 37-29 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.52, David Price has a 7-4 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 102 strikeouts over the 91.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 80 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.56. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.49 and they have given up 163 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 222 times and walking 84 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.59 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 531 base knocks and 280 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 76 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 229 hitters and struck out 564. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.21.
As a team, they are batting .290, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .297 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .479 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .354 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.35 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .350 and he has an OBP of .399. He has 97 hits this year along with 53 runs scored and 45 RBI. He's struck out 44 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .287 and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 83 hits so far while he's scored 60 runs and drove in 48. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 44 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 683 base hits, including 167 doubles and 81 homers. They have 45 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Boston as a team has walked 224 times this year and they have struck out 480 times. They've had 480 men left on base and have an OPS of .832. They score 5.79 runs per game and have totaled 382 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 33-29-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 33-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 36-25-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 37-29-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/17/16 P Wade Miley Shoulder 15-day DL (6/13)
06/16/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot expected to start Sunday vs Boston Red Sox
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Boston Red Sox
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 15-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
06/05/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (6/2)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners
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