Saturday, July 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Jake Arrieta
The Seattle Mariners head to Wrigley Field on Saturday to take on the Chicago Cubs. The probable pitchers are Wade Miley for the Mariners and Jake Arrieta for the Cubs. The opening line for this game has Seattle at +225 and Chicago at -245. The over/under is 8. The Mariners have a 48-47-5 over/under mark and a 50-50-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Cubs are 52-49-0 against the run line and have a 47-48-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Mariners head into this game with a 51-49 record, and they are 26-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 6-8 record with an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.42. He has 73 strikeouts during his 105 innings pitched and he has given up 116 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.01. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.68 and they have allowed 273 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the pen while they've been struck out 357 times and walked 116 times this year. As a unit, Seattle has given up 8.79 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 hitters per nine. They are 12th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.02. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 873 base hits and 399 earned runs. They have allowed 131 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 289 batters and struck out 835. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.
As a team, Seattle is hitting .260, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .265 average on the road. The Mariners have a .438 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .328 which is good for 10th in the league. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.9 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this game hitting .301 and his on-base percentage is at .360. He has 122 hits this season along with 67 runs scored and 63 runs batted in. He's struck out 63 times and has walked 31 times. Nelson Cruz is hitting .285 and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 103 hits so far while scoring 58 runs and he's driven in 66. He has walked 41 times and has struck out 100 times. The Mariners have 890 hits, including 159 doubles and 143 home runs. They've stolen 27 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Seattle has walked 311 times this season and they've struck out 783 times as a unit. They've left 662 men on base and have a team OPS of .766. They score 4.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 475 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this game with a 32-16 home mark and a 61-40 overall record. With an ERA of 2.76, Jake Arrieta has a 12-4 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 135 strikeouts over the 127.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 92 hits. He has allowed 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.99. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .207 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 300 times and walking 124 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.88 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.22. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 708 base knocks and 329 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 103 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 313 hitters and struck out 895. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 3.81.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .241 average at home. The Cubs hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.59 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .283 and he has an OBP of .378. He has 108 hits this year along with 81 runs scored and 67 RBI. He's struck out 102 times and has walked on 47 occasions. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .287 and he has an OBP of .395. He has collected 103 hits so far while he's scored 60 runs and drove in 76. He has earned a walk 53 times and has punched out 70 times. The Cubs as a unit have 868 base hits, including 185 doubles and 128 homers. They have 42 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Chicago as a team has walked 423 times this year and they have struck out 853 times. They've had 759 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They score 5.04 runs per game and have totaled 509 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 48-47-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 50-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 47-48-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 52-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/28/16 RF Nelson Cruz Leg is upgraded to probable Friday vs. Chicago Cubs
07/23/16 SS Ketel Marte Mononucleosis 15-day DL (7/20)
07/06/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
07/16/16 P Trevor Cahill Knee 15-day DL (7/9)
07/03/16 2B Chris Coghlan Ribs 15-day DL (7/3)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Cubs
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