Sunday, July 31, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Felix Hernandez vs. Kyle Hendricks
The Seattle Mariners visit Wrigley Field on Sunday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Felix Hernandez for the Mariners and Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs. The Mariners have a 49-47-5 over/under record and a 50-51-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Cubs are 53-49-0 against the run line and have a 48-48-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Mariners head into this matchup with a 51-50 record, including 26-27 on the road. Starting pitcher Felix Hernandez has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 58 strikeouts over his 75.2 innings pitched and he has given up 70 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.54. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 279 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen while being struck out 360 times and walking 121 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.38 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.10. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 887 base hits and 411 earned runs. They have allowed 133 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 295 batters and struck out 840. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.29.
As a team, Seattle is batting .259, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .265 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.89 hits per game. Robinson Cano comes into this game hitting .303 and his on-base percentage is at .362. He has 124 hits this season along with 67 runs scored and 63 runs batted in. He's struck out 63 times and has walked 32 times. Nelson Cruz is hitting .284 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 103 hits so far while scoring 58 runs and he's driven in 66. He has walked 42 times and has struck out 101 times. The Mariners have 898 hits, including 160 doubles and 143 home runs. They've stolen 29 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Seattle has walked 315 times this season and they've struck out 792 times as a unit. They've left 673 men on base and have a team OPS of .764. They score 4.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 476 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 33-16 home record and a 62-40 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.39, Kyle Hendricks has a 9-7 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 103 strikeouts over the 116.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 91 hits. He has allowed 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.35. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 226 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 302 times and walking 126 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.88 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.20. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 716 base knocks and 330 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 103 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 317 hitters and struck out 904. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .244 average at home. The Cubs hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.65 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .289 and he has an OBP of .385. He has 111 hits this year along with 82 runs scored and 68 RBI. He's struck out 102 times and has walked on 49 occasions. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .286 and he has an OBP of .393. He has collected 104 hits so far while he's scored 61 runs and drove in 79. He has earned a walk 53 times and has punched out 70 times. The Cubs as a unit have 882 base hits, including 188 doubles and 130 homers. They have 44 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Chicago as a team has walked 429 times this year and they have struck out 858 times. They've had 766 men left on base and have an OPS of .777. They score 5.11 runs per game and have totaled 521 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 49-47-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 50-51-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 48-48-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 53-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/23/16 SS Ketel Marte Mononucleosis 15-day DL (7/20)
07/06/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
07/16/16 P Trevor Cahill Knee 15-day DL (7/9)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mariners
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