Tuesday, June 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Justin Verlander
The Seattle Mariners head to Comerica Park on Tuesday to take on the Detroit Tigers. The probable pitchers are James Paxton for the Mariners and Justin Verlander for the Tigers. The opening line for this game has Seattle at +127 and Detroit at -137. The over/under is 8.5. The Mariners have a 33-31-5 over/under mark and a 34-35-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Tigers are 39-30-0 against the run line and have a 40-25-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.
The Mariners head into this game with a 36-33 record, and they are 21-15 on the road. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 1-2 record with an ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 1.55. He has 29 strikeouts during his 22 innings pitched and he has given up 28 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 11.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.08. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.17 and they have allowed 179 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the pen while they've been struck out 236 times and walked 80 times this year. As a unit, Seattle has given up 8.44 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 hitters per nine. They are 6th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.71. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 581 base hits and 255 earned runs. They have allowed 84 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 207 batters and struck out 590. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.10.
As a team, Seattle is hitting .260, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .271 average on the road. The Mariners have a .438 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .329 which is good for 8th in the league. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.97 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .289 and his on-base percentage is at .375. He has 74 hits this season along with 40 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 72 times and has walked 31 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .301 and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 86 hits so far while scoring 51 runs and he's driven in 53. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 44 times. The Mariners have 619 hits, including 99 doubles and 102 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Seattle has walked 218 times this season and they've struck out 527 times as a unit. They've left 455 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 4.94 runs per contest and have scored a total of 341 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this game with a 17-13 home mark and a 34-35 overall record. With an ERA of 3.87, Justin Verlander has a 7-5 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 97 strikeouts over the 93 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 75 hits. He has allowed 7.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.52. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.90 and they have given up 224 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .277 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 172 times and walking 76 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.25 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.27 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 627 base knocks and 310 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 72 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 216 hitters and struck out 493. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.20.
As a team, they are batting .269, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .282 average at home. The Tigers hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.36 hits per contest. Nick Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .298 and he has an OBP of .332. He has 75 hits this year along with 34 runs scored and 39 RBI. He's struck out 69 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .304 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 84 hits so far while he's scored 58 runs and drove in 45. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 50 times. The Tigers as a unit have 646 base hits, including 115 doubles and 88 homers. They have 27 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Detroit as a team has walked 201 times this year and they have struck out 590 times. They've had 471 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They score 4.74 runs per game and have totaled 327 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 33-31-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 34-35-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 40-25-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 39-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/17/16 P Wade Miley Shoulder 15-day DL (6/13)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
06/17/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 15-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers
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