Monday, September 26, 2016
Minute Maid Park
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Probable Pitchers: Hisashi Iwakuma vs. Collin McHugh
The Seattle Mariners visit Minute Maid Park on Monday to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Hisashi Iwakuma for the Mariners and Collin McHugh for the Astros. The Mariners have a 77-71-6 over/under record and a 77-77-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Astros are 69-86-0 against the run line and have a 70-77-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Mariners head into this matchup with a 81-73 record, including 39-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Hisashi Iwakuma has a 16-12 record with an earned run average of 4.04 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 137 strikeouts over his 189.1 innings pitched and he has given up 205 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.37. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 436 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen while being struck out 519 times and walking 175 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.03. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 1,335 base hits and 619 earned runs. They have allowed 206 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 440 batters and struck out 1,245. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.
As a team, Seattle is batting .258, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .261 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.86 hits per game. Robinson Cano comes into this game hitting .297 and his on-base percentage is at .348. He has 185 hits this season along with 98 runs scored and 92 runs batted in. He's struck out 93 times and has walked 43 times. Kyle Seager is hitting .281 and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 158 hits so far while scoring 86 runs and he's driven in 96. He has walked 66 times and has struck out 100 times. The Mariners have 1,364 hits, including 236 doubles and 209 home runs. They've stolen 51 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Seattle has walked 481 times this season and they've struck out 1,215 times as a unit. They've left 1,035 men on base and have a team OPS of .753. They score 4.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 726 runs so far this year.
Houston comes into this matchup with a 41-36 home record and a 81-74 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.61, Collin McHugh has a 12-10 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 166 strikeouts over the 170 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 197 hits. He has allowed 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.97. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 450 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 587 times and walking 137 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 8.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,377 base knocks and 630 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 175 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff has walked 425 hitters and struck out 1,339. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 3.83.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Astros hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.39 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .338 and he has an OBP of .396. He has 207 hits this year along with 103 runs scored and 94 RBI. He's struck out 68 times and has walked on 57 occasions. George Springer is hitting .255 and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 157 hits so far while he's scored 112 runs and drove in 79. He has earned a walk 87 times and has punched out 172 times. The Astros as a unit have 1,301 base hits, including 279 doubles and 193 homers. They have 98 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 44 times. Houston as a team has walked 540 times this year and they have struck out 1,398 times. They've had 1,041 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They score 4.52 runs per game and have totaled 700 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 77-71-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 77-77-0 against the run line so far this season
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 70-77-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 69-86-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/23/16 C Steve Clevenger Suspension 60-day DL (6/29); out for season
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 60-day DL (7/30)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
09/22/16 LF Preston Tucker Shoulder 15-day DL (8/11); out for season
09/17/16 3B Alex Bregman Hamstring out indefinitely
09/06/16 P Dallas Keuchel Shoulder out indefinitely
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners
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