Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Minute Maid Park
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Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Doug Fister
The Seattle Mariners visit Minute Maid Park on Wednesday to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are James Paxton for the Mariners and Doug Fister for the Astros. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at -125 and Houston at +115. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Mariners have a 77-73-6 over/under record and a 78-78-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Astros are 70-87-0 against the run line and have a 70-79-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Mariners head into this matchup with a 83-73 record, including 41-38 on the road. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 5-7 record with an earned run average of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 109 strikeouts over his 116 innings pitched and he has given up 128 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.77. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have given up 442 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 528 times and walking 177 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.12 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 1,354 base hits and 625 earned runs. They have allowed 207 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 446 batters and struck out 1,266. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.
As a team, Seattle is batting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .260 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.86 hits per game. Kyle Seager comes into this game hitting .280 and his on-base percentage is at .362. He has 160 hits this season along with 86 runs scored and 96 runs batted in. He's struck out 102 times and has walked 67 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 188 hits so far while scoring 100 runs and he's driven in 94. He has walked 45 times and has struck out 94 times. The Mariners have 1,382 hits, including 240 doubles and 214 home runs. They've stolen 52 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Seattle has walked 489 times this season and they've struck out 1,236 times as a unit. They've left 1,055 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 734 runs so far this year.
Houston comes into this matchup with a 42-37 home record and a 82-75 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.42, Doug Fister has a 12-12 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 113 strikeouts over the 179 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 190 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.68. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.51 and they have given up 456 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 600 times and walking 142 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 8.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,396 base knocks and 634 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 177 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff has walked 433 hitters and struck out 1,361. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 3.83.
As a team, they are batting .246, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .236 average at home. The Astros hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.41 hits per contest. George Springer comes into this matchup batting .260 and he has an OBP of .360. He has 162 hits this year along with 113 runs scored and 79 RBI. He's struck out 174 times and has walked on 88 occasions. Jose Altuve is hitting .338 and he has an OBP of .395. He has collected 210 hits so far while he's scored 105 runs and drove in 95. He has earned a walk 57 times and has punched out 68 times. The Astros as a unit have 1,320 base hits, including 280 doubles and 196 homers. They have 99 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 44 times. Houston as a team has walked 544 times this year and they have struck out 1,413 times. They've had 1,049 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They score 4.5 runs per game and have totaled 707 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 77-73-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 78-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 70-79-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 70-87-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/26/16 RF Nelson Cruz Wrist is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs. Houston Astros
09/23/16 C Steve Clevenger Suspension 60-day DL (6/29); out for season
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 60-day DL (7/30)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
09/22/16 LF Preston Tucker Shoulder 15-day DL (8/11); out for season
09/17/16 3B Alex Bregman Hamstring out indefinitely
09/06/16 P Dallas Keuchel Shoulder out indefinitely
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners
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