Friday, September 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Kyle Gibson
The Seattle Mariners head to Target Field on Friday to take on the Minnesota Twins. The probable pitchers are James Paxton for the Mariners and Kyle Gibson for the Twins. The opening line for this game has Seattle at -140 and Minnesota at +130. The over/under is 8.5. The Mariners have a 76-70-6 over/under mark and a 76-76-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Twins are 77-74-0 against the run line and have a 90-53-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Mariners head into this game with a 80-72 record, and they are 38-37 on the road. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 4-7 record with an ERA of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.34. He has 100 strikeouts during his 109 innings pitched and he has given up 123 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.91. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have allowed 436 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the pen while they've been struck out 511 times and walked 174 times this year. As a unit, Seattle has given up 8.74 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.09 hitters per nine. They are 12th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.05. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 1,327 base hits and 615 earned runs. They have allowed 204 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 438 batters and struck out 1,228. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.35.
As a team, Seattle is hitting .258, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .261 average on the road. The Mariners have a .428 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .326 which is good for 9th in the league. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.86 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .344. He has 179 hits this season along with 95 runs scored and 90 runs batted in. He's struck out 93 times and has walked 43 times. Kyle Seager is hitting .282 and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 157 hits so far while scoring 84 runs and he's driven in 95. He has walked 64 times and has struck out 98 times. The Mariners have 1,346 hits, including 233 doubles and 207 home runs. They've stolen 51 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Seattle has walked 474 times this season and they've struck out 1,200 times as a unit. They've left 1,021 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 714 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this game with a 29-47 home mark and a 55-96 overall record. With an ERA of 5.10, Kyle Gibson has a 6-10 record and a 1.55 WHIP. He has 94 strikeouts over the 136 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 161 hits. He has allowed 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.83. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.58 and they have given up 576 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 491 times and walking 180 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.38 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.11. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,528 base knocks and 764 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 211 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 441 hitters and struck out 1,102. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.60.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Twins hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.83 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .263 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 129 hits this year along with 68 runs scored and 49 RBI. He's struck out 92 times and has walked on 78 occasions. Brian Dozier is hitting .281 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 162 hits so far while he's scored 99 runs and drove in 98. He has earned a walk 59 times and has punched out 125 times. The Twins as a unit have 1,334 base hits, including 272 doubles and 187 homers. They have 86 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 475 times this year and they have struck out 1,312 times. They've had 1,057 men left on base and have an OPS of .743. They score 4.53 runs per game and have totaled 684 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 76-70-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 76-76-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 90-53-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 77-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 60-day DL (7/30)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
09/21/16 3B Miguel Sano Back "?" Thursday vs. Detroit Tigers
09/20/16 LF Eddie Rosario Thumb out for season
09/14/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (9/12); out for season
09/10/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Oblique 15-day DL
08/29/16 CF Danny Santana Shoulder 60-day DL (8/29); out for season
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins
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