Saturday, September 24, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ariel Miranda vs. Tyler Duffey
The Seattle Mariners visit Target Field on Saturday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Ariel Miranda for the Mariners and Tyler Duffey for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at -120 and Minnesota at +110. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Mariners have a 76-70-6 over/under record and a 76-76-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Twins are 77-76-0 against the run line and have a 91-54-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Mariners head into this matchup with a 80-72 record, including 38-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Ariel Miranda has a 5-1 record with an earned run average of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.17. He has 38 strikeouts over his 48.2 innings pitched and he has given up 40 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.02. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have given up 436 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen while being struck out 511 times and walking 174 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.09 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 1,327 base hits and 615 earned runs. They have allowed 204 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 438 batters and struck out 1,228. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.35.
As a team, Seattle is batting .258, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .261 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.86 hits per game. Robinson Cano comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .344. He has 179 hits this season along with 95 runs scored and 90 runs batted in. He's struck out 93 times and has walked 43 times. Kyle Seager is hitting .282 and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 157 hits so far while scoring 84 runs and he's driven in 95. He has walked 64 times and has struck out 98 times. The Mariners have 1,346 hits, including 233 doubles and 207 home runs. They've stolen 51 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Seattle has walked 474 times this season and they've struck out 1,200 times as a unit. They've left 1,021 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 714 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 29-49 home record and a 55-98 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.39, Tyler Duffey has a 8-11 record and a 1.52 WHIP. He has 106 strikeouts over the 124 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 157 hits. He has allowed 11.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.73. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 583 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 498 times and walking 186 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.19 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.11. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,543 base knocks and 774 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 213 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 452 hitters and struck out 1,122. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.59.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Twins hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.78 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .263 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 129 hits this year along with 68 runs scored and 49 RBI. He's struck out 92 times and has walked on 78 occasions. Brian Dozier is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 163 hits so far while he's scored 100 runs and drove in 99. He has earned a walk 59 times and has punched out 127 times. The Twins as a unit have 1,343 base hits, including 275 doubles and 190 homers. They have 86 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 31 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 482 times this year and they have struck out 1,337 times. They've had 1,068 men left on base and have an OPS of .741. They score 4.5 runs per game and have totaled 688 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 76-70-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 76-76-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 91-54-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 77-76-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 60-day DL (7/30)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
09/23/16 RF Max Kepler Neck injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Seattle Mariners
09/20/16 LF Eddie Rosario Thumb out for season
09/14/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (9/12); out for season
09/10/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Oblique 15-day DL
08/29/16 CF Danny Santana Shoulder 60-day DL (8/29); out for season
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners
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