Saturday, April 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Felix Hernandez vs. CC Sabathia
The Seattle Mariners visit Yankee Stadium on Saturday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Felix Hernandez for the Mariners and CC Sabathia for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at -122 and New York at +112. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Mariners have a 4-5-0 over/under record and a 4-5-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Yankees are 4-4-0 against the run line and have a 5-3-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Mariners head into this matchup with a 3-6 record, including 2-1 on the road. Starting pitcher Felix Hernandez has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 0.69 and a WHIP of 0.85. He has 16 strikeouts over his 13 innings pitched and he has given up 4 hits so far this season. He has allowed 2.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.6. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 18 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .173 against the bullpen while being struck out 35 times and walking 9 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.99 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 72 base hits and 36 earned runs. They have allowed 8 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 23 batters and struck out 91. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.16 and their FIP as a unit is 3.21.
As a team, Seattle is batting .208, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .282 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7 hits per game. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .229 and his on-base percentage is at .325. He has 8 hits this season along with 5 runs scored and 4 runs batted in. He's struck out 4 times and has walked 4 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .189 and he has an on-base percentage of .250. He has totaled 7 hits so far while scoring 5 runs and he's driven in 8. He has walked 3 times and has struck out 7 times. The Mariners have 63 hits, including 10 doubles and 14 home runs. They've stolen 1 base while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. Seattle has walked 30 times this season and they've struck out 71 times as a unit. They've left 61 men on base and have a team OPS of .673. They score 3.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 32 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 2-1 home record and a 4-3 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.50, CC Sabathia has a 1-0 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 3 strikeouts over the 6 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 4 hits. He has allowed 6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.21. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.19 and they have given up 21 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 36 times and walking 6 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.87 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.43 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.30. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 68 base knocks and 33 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 9 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 20 hitters and struck out 80. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 3.63.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .314 average at home. The Yankees hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.5 hits per contest. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this matchup batting .257 and he has an OBP of .278. He has 9 hits this year along with 3 runs scored and 5 RBI. He's struck out 7 times and has walked on 1 occasion. Mark Teixeira is hitting .241 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 7 hits so far while he's scored 6 runs and drove in 8. He has earned a walk 4 times and has punched out 7 times. The Yankees as a unit have 68 base hits, including 7 doubles and 11 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. New York as a team has walked 29 times this year and they have struck out 53 times. They've had 50 men left on base and have an OPS of .749. They score 5.25 runs per game and have totaled 42 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 4-5-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 4-5-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 5-3-0 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 4-4-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
New York Yankees
04/13/16 P Aroldis Chapman Suspension 30-game suspension, eligible to return May 9 vs Kansas City Royals
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 15-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners
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