Thursday, June 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Blake Snell
The Seattle Mariners head to Tropicana Field on Thursday to take on the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable pitchers are James Paxton for the Mariners and Blake Snell for the Rays. The opening line for this game has Seattle at +103 and Tampa Bay at -113. The over/under is 8. The Mariners have a 31-28-5 over/under mark and a 30-34-0 run line record, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Rays are 30-32-0 against the run line and have a 28-29-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Mariners head into this game with a 34-30 record, and they are 19-12 on the road. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 0-2 record with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.56. He has 24 strikeouts during his 16 innings pitched and he has given up 21 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 11.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.32. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.24 and they have allowed 159 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the pen while they've been struck out 215 times and walked 67 times this year. As a unit, Seattle has given up 8.28 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.59 hitters per nine. They are 7th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.72. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 527 base hits and 237 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 187 batters and struck out 547. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.
As a team, Seattle is hitting .260, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .273 average on the road. The Mariners have a .441 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .330 which is good for 7th in the league. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.92 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .301 and his on-base percentage is at .385. He has 71 hits this season along with 38 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 28 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 78 hits so far while scoring 49 runs and he's driven in 51. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 40 times. The Mariners have 571 hits, including 93 doubles and 95 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Seattle has walked 206 times this season and they've struck out 476 times as a unit. They've left 421 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 5.03 runs per contest and have scored a total of 322 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this game with a 14-16 home mark and a 30-32 overall record. With an ERA of 1.80, Blake Snell has a 0-0 record and a 0.60 WHIP. He has 6 strikeouts over the 5 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 2 hits. He has allowed 3.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.33. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have given up 174 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 166 times and walking 68 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.59 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.68 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 521 base knocks and 248 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 82 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 184 hitters and struck out 526. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .223 average at home. The Rays hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.13 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .279 and he has an OBP of .331. He has 68 hits this year along with 37 runs scored and 40 RBI. He's struck out 62 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Steven Souza is hitting .255 and he has an OBP of .315. He has collected 54 hits so far while he's scored 26 runs and drove in 25. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 82 times. The Rays as a unit have 504 base hits, including 108 doubles and 93 homers. They have 24 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 193 times this year and they have struck out 578 times. They've had 419 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They score 4.24 runs per game and have totaled 263 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 31-28-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 30-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 28-29-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 30-32-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/15/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot left last game, "?" for next scheduled start
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Tampa Bay Rays
06/14/16 RF Steven Souza Hip injured last game, "?" Wednesday vs. Seattle Mariners
06/06/16 LF Brandon Guyer Hamstring 15-day DL (6/4)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/31/16 P Ryan Webb Pectoral 15-day DL (5/27)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rays
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