Wednesday, June 8, 2016
Great American Ball Park
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Jaime Garcia vs. Alfredo Simon
The St. Louis Cardinals head to Great American Ball Park on Wednesday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Jaime Garcia for the Cardinals and Alfredo Simon for the Reds. The opening line for this game has St. Louis at -175 and Cincinnati at +165. The over/under is 9. The Cardinals have a 35-20-2 over/under mark and a 31-26-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Reds are 30-27-0 against the run line and have a 33-19-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Cardinals head into this game with a 30-27 record, and they are 15-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Jaime Garcia has a 4-5 record with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 58 strikeouts during his 64.2 innings pitched and he has given up 55 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.14. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have allowed 141 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the pen while they've been struck out 177 times and walked 62 times this year. As a unit, St. Louis has given up 8.41 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.82 hitters per nine. They are 18th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.18. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 471 base hits and 234 earned runs. They have allowed 55 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 166 batters and struck out 438. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.
As a team, St. Louis is hitting .267, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .271 average on the road. The Cardinals have a .456 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .337 which is good for 4th in the league. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.19 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this game hitting .281 and his on-base percentage is at .388. He has 56 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 46 times and has walked 33 times. Yadier Molina is hitting .256 and he has an on-base percentage of .336. He has totaled 50 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 21. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 23 times. The Cardinals have 524 hits, including 111 doubles and 76 home runs. They've stolen 15 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. St. Louis has walked 192 times this season and they've struck out 442 times as a unit. They've left 402 men on base and have a team OPS of .793. They score 5.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 307 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this game with a 14-16 home mark and a 21-36 overall record. With an ERA of 8.94, Alfredo Simon has a 2-5 record and a 1.92 WHIP. He has 34 strikeouts over the 47.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 69 hits. He has allowed 13.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.89. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.51 and they have given up 215 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 179 times and walking 119 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.12 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.63. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 528 base knocks and 312 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 97 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 251 hitters and struck out 395. They give up a walk 4.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.56 while their FIP as a staff is 5.75.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .238 average at home. The Reds hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.89 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 54 hits this year along with 31 runs scored and 22 RBI. He's struck out 25 times and has walked on 8 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 54 hits so far while he's scored 34 runs and drove in 40. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 45 times. The Reds as a unit have 450 base hits, including 99 doubles and 70 homers. They have 33 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 135 times this year and they have struck out 474 times. They've had 292 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They score 4.39 runs per game and have totaled 250 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 35-20-2 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 31-26-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 33-19-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 30-27-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)05/15/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 15-day DL (5/13)04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)04/04/16 SS Jhonny Peralta Thumb 15-day DL (3/25)04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Reds
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks