Thursday, July 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Michael Wacha vs. Jose Fernandez
The St. Louis Cardinals head to Marlins Park on Thursday to take on the Miami Marlins. The probable pitchers are Michael Wacha for the Cardinals and Jose Fernandez for the Marlins. The opening line for this game has St. Louis at +185 and Miami at -200. The over/under is 7. The Cardinals have a 51-44-5 over/under mark and a 51-49-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Marlins are 51-49-0 against the run line and have a 50-48-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Cardinals head into this game with a 53-47 record, and they are 28-17 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Wacha has a 5-7 record with an ERA of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.44. He has 101 strikeouts during his 115.1 innings pitched and he has given up 127 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.67. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.36 and they have allowed 233 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the pen while they've been struck out 293 times and walked 112 times this year. As a unit, St. Louis has given up 8.47 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.82 hitters per nine. They are 8th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.81. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 846 base hits and 381 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 282 batters and struck out 781. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.75.
As a team, St. Louis is hitting .258, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .264 average on the road. The Cardinals have a .445 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .329 which is good for 9th in the league. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.9 hits per contest. Yadier Molina comes into this game hitting .264 and his on-base percentage is at .330. He has 85 hits this season along with 35 runs scored and 29 runs batted in. He's struck out 39 times and has walked 30 times. Matt Carpenter is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .420. He has totaled 85 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 53. He has walked 58 times and has struck out 61 times. The Cardinals have 891 hits, including 188 doubles and 138 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. St. Louis has walked 339 times this season and they've struck out 788 times as a unit. They've left 702 men on base and have a team OPS of .775. They score 5.08 runs per contest and have scored a total of 508 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this game with a 26-22 home mark and a 54-46 overall record. With an ERA of 2.54, Jose Fernandez has a 12-4 record and a 1.03 WHIP. He has 175 strikeouts over the 120.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 89 hits. He has allowed 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.07. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 272 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 349 times and walking 146 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.73 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.90. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 814 base knocks and 386 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 96 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 346 hitters and struck out 865. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 3.91.
As a team, they are batting .270, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Marlins hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.38 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this matchup batting .319 and he has an OBP of .370. He has 119 hits this year along with 43 runs scored and 35 RBI. He's struck out 45 times and has walked on 30 occasions. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .293 and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 106 hits so far while he's scored 55 runs and drove in 52. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 80 times. The Marlins as a unit have 938 base hits, including 167 doubles and 83 homers. They have 33 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Miami as a team has walked 282 times this year and they have struck out 769 times. They've had 754 men left on base and have an OPS of .733. They score 4.14 runs per game and have totaled 414 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 51-44-5 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 51-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 50-48-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 51-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
07/27/16 P Trevor Rosenthal Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/19/16 3B Jhonny Peralta Thumb 15-day DL (7/18)
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
07/07/16 3B Matt Carpenter Oblique 15-day DL (7/7)
07/06/16 1B Brandon Moss Ankle 15-day DL (7/5)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
07/26/16 1B Chris Johnson Ankle "?" Wednesday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
07/26/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension 80-game suspension, expected to be activated Thursday
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins
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