Tuesday, May 31, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Leake vs. Wily Peralta
The St. Louis Cardinals visit Miller Park on Tuesday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Mike Leake for the Cardinals and Wily Peralta for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at -153 and Milwaukee at +143. The over/under was set at 9. The Cardinals have a 32-18-2 over/under record and a 28-24-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Brewers are 24-27-0 against the run line and have a 26-21-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Cardinals head into this matchup with a 27-25 record, including 14-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Leake has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.16. He has 38 strikeouts over his 62.1 innings pitched and he has given up 59 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.58. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 133 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen while being struck out 166 times and walking 57 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.82 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 433 base hits and 216 earned runs. They have allowed 52 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 150 batters and struck out 392. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.
As a team, St. Louis is batting .265, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .269 average away from home. The Cardinals hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.16 hits per game. Matt Carpenter comes into this game hitting .241 and his on-base percentage is at .365. He has 42 hits this season along with 29 runs scored and 33 runs batted in. He's struck out 42 times and has walked 32 times. Yadier Molina is hitting .283 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 49 hits so far while scoring 18 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 20 times and has struck out 21 times. The Cardinals have 467 hits, including 102 doubles and 69 home runs. They've stolen 15 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. St. Louis has walked 179 times this season and they've struck out 400 times as a unit. They've left 370 men on base and have a team OPS of .794. They score 5.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 276 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 14-14 home record and a 23-28 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.62, Wily Peralta has a 3-5 record and a 1.90 WHIP. He has 35 strikeouts over the 51.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 76 hits. He has allowed 13.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.47. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.91 and they have given up 172 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 160 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 459 base knocks and 226 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 187 hitters and struck out 367. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.89.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .263 average at home. The Brewers hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.04 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .351 and he has an OBP of .424. He has 53 hits this year along with 23 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 24 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .292 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 50 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 26. He has earned a walk 16 times and has punched out 37 times. The Brewers as a unit have 402 base hits, including 84 doubles and 54 homers. They have 43 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 209 times this year and they have struck out 489 times. They've had 350 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They score 4.3 runs per game and have totaled 215 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 32-18-2 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 28-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 26-21-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 24-27-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
05/30/16 RF Stephen Piscotty Food Poisoning "?" Tuesday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/15/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 15-day DL (5/13)
04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 SS Jhonny Peralta Thumb 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)
05/30/16 LF Ryan Braun Neck "?" Tuesday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
05/20/16 RF Domingo Santana Shoulder 15-day DL (5/19)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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