Friday, July 8, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Michael Wacha vs. Jimmy Nelson
The St. Louis Cardinals head to Miller Park on Friday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Michael Wacha for the Cardinals and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has St. Louis at -128 and Milwaukee at +118. The over/under is 9. The Cardinals have a 45-35-4 over/under mark and a 43-41-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Brewers are 43-41-0 against the run line and have a 42-38-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Cardinals head into this game with a 43-41 record, and they are 25-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Wacha has a 5-7 record with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 85 strikeouts during his 98.2 innings pitched and he has given up 105 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.44. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have allowed 202 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the pen while they've been struck out 241 times and walked 92 times this year. As a unit, St. Louis has given up 8.57 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.64 hitters per nine. They are 10th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.96. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 714 base hits and 330 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 239 batters and struck out 636. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.84.
As a team, St. Louis is hitting .261, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .267 average on the road. The Cardinals have a .441 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .333 which is good for 5th in the league. They rank 12th in baseball with 9.02 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this game hitting .298 and his on-base percentage is at .420. He has 85 hits this season along with 56 runs scored and 53 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 58 times. Yadier Molina is hitting .259 and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 73 hits so far while scoring 28 runs and he's driven in 27. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 36 times. The Cardinals have 760 hits, including 158 doubles and 109 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. St. Louis has walked 291 times this season and they've struck out 652 times as a unit. They've left 603 men on base and have a team OPS of .776. They score 5.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 434 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 22-20 home mark and a 37-47 overall record. With an ERA of 3.65, Jimmy Nelson has a 5-7 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 74 strikeouts over the 101 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 94 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.83. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.03 and they have given up 284 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 262 times and walking 123 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.31 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.49. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 769 base knocks and 371 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 104 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 293 hitters and struck out 611. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.69.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Brewers hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.14 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .322 and he has an OBP of .378. He has 87 hits this year along with 35 runs scored and 44 RBI. He's struck out 45 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .302 and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 86 hits so far while he's scored 41 runs and drove in 40. He has earned a walk 26 times and has punched out 58 times. The Brewers as a unit have 684 base hits, including 130 doubles and 86 homers. They have 72 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 310 times this year and they have struck out 797 times. They've had 576 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They score 4 runs per game and have totaled 336 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 45-35-4 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 43-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 42-38-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 43-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
07/07/16 3B Matt Carpenter Oblique is downgraded to out indefinitely
07/06/16 1B Brandon Moss Ankle 15-day DL (7/5)
07/06/16 3B Jhonny Peralta Thumb "?" Thursday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
07/02/16 P Kevin Siegrist Mononucleosis 15-day DL (6/30)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers
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