Monday, August 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Carlos Martinez vs. Zach Davies
The St. Louis Cardinals visit Miller Park on Monday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Carlos Martinez for the Cardinals and Zach Davies for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at -120 and Milwaukee at +110. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Cardinals have a 70-52-6 over/under record and a 61-67-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Brewers are 66-63-0 against the run line and have a 61-61-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Cardinals head into this matchup with a 68-60 record, including 38-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Carlos Martinez has a 12-7 record with an earned run average of 3.13 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 124 strikeouts over his 152.1 innings pitched and he has given up 125 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.7. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.38 and they have given up 326 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen while being struck out 385 times and walking 141 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 1,111 base hits and 510 earned runs. They have allowed 120 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 365 batters and struck out 991. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.85.
As a team, St. Louis is batting .258, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .260 average away from home. The Cardinals hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.91 hits per game. Aledmys Diaz comes into this game hitting .312 and his on-base percentage is at .376. He has 110 hits this season along with 64 runs scored and 57 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 34 times. Stephen Piscotty is hitting .276 and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 129 hits so far while scoring 71 runs and he's driven in 72. He has walked 43 times and has struck out 98 times. The Cardinals have 1,142 hits, including 241 doubles and 183 home runs. They've stolen 29 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. St. Louis has walked 429 times this season and they've struck out 1,029 times as a unit. They've left 904 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 4.98 runs per contest and have scored a total of 637 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 36-32 home record and a 56-73 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.06, Zach Davies has a 10-6 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 108 strikeouts over the 133 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 134 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.95. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.80 and they have given up 433 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 397 times and walking 178 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.37 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,175 base knocks and 547 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 146 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 445 hitters and struck out 934. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.49.
As a team, they are batting .246, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Brewers hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.09 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .315 and he has an OBP of .377. He has 129 hits this year along with 67 runs scored and 74 RBI. He's struck out 76 times and has walked on 39 occasions. Jonathan Villar is hitting .297 and he has an OBP of .378. He has collected 141 hits so far while he's scored 69 runs and drove in 45. He has earned a walk 63 times and has punched out 141 times. The Brewers as a unit have 1,044 base hits, including 199 doubles and 146 homers. They have 147 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 43 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 500 times this year and they have struck out 1,226 times. They've had 885 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They score 4.12 runs per game and have totaled 532 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 70-52-6 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 61-67-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 61-61-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 66-63-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
08/27/16 P Mike Leake Skin Rash "?" for next scheduled start
08/17/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 15-day DL (8/14)
08/12/16 LF Matt Holliday Thumb 15-day DL (8/12)
08/11/16 1B Matt Adams Shoulder 15-day DL (8/10)
08/10/16 P Michael Wacha Shoulder 15-day DL (8/9)
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 60-day DL (7/31), out for season
08/02/16 SS Aledmys Diaz Thumb 15-day DL (8/1)
07/27/16 P Trevor Rosenthal Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 60-day DL (7/7)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
08/17/16 P Michael Blazek Forearm 15-day DL (8/14)
08/09/16 P Junior Guerra Elbow 15-day DL (8/4)
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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