Saturday, June 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Leake vs. Nate Karns
The St. Louis Cardinals visit Safeco Field on Saturday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Mike Leake for the Cardinals and Nate Karns for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at +118 and Seattle at -128. The over/under was set at 8. The Cardinals have a 40-28-3 over/under record and a 38-33-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Mariners are 35-38-0 against the run line and have a 34-34-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Cardinals head into this matchup with a 38-33 record, including 23-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Leake has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.16. He has 58 strikeouts over his 87.2 innings pitched and he has given up 88 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.49. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 169 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen while being struck out 206 times and walking 74 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.31 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.67 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 584 base hits and 278 earned runs. They have allowed 66 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 199 batters and struck out 539. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.83.
As a team, St. Louis is batting .263, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .270 average away from home. The Cardinals hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.07 hits per game. Matt Carpenter comes into this game hitting .296 and his on-base percentage is at .416. He has 71 hits this season along with 48 runs scored and 45 runs batted in. He's struck out 52 times and has walked 48 times. Yadier Molina is hitting .259 and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 63 hits so far while scoring 25 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 34 times. The Cardinals have 645 hits, including 135 doubles and 94 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. St. Louis has walked 243 times this season and they've struck out 552 times as a unit. They've left 500 men on base and have a team OPS of .783. They score 5.27 runs per contest and have scored a total of 374 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 15-18 home record and a 36-37 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.38, Nate Karns has a 5-2 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 81 strikeouts over the 76 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 75 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.65. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.21 and they have given up 195 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 255 times and walking 89 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.59 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.80. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 626 base knocks and 277 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 91 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 225 hitters and struck out 625. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.16.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Mariners hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 9 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .285 and he has an OBP of .368. He has 77 hits this year along with 43 runs scored and 48 RBI. He's struck out 75 times and has walked on 31 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 89 hits so far while he's scored 52 runs and drove in 53. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 47 times. The Mariners as a unit have 657 base hits, including 107 doubles and 109 homers. They have 24 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Seattle as a team has walked 225 times this year and they have struck out 560 times. They've had 483 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They score 4.86 runs per game and have totaled 355 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 40-28-3 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 38-33-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 34-34-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 35-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)
06/24/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow "?" for next scheduled start
06/21/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot is downgraded to expected to miss next scheduled start Friday vs St Louis Cardinals
06/17/16 P Wade Miley Shoulder 15-day DL (6/13)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Josh's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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