Sunday, June 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jaime Garcia vs. James Paxton
The St. Louis Cardinals visit Safeco Field on Sunday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Jaime Garcia for the Cardinals and James Paxton for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at +108 and Seattle at -118. The over/under was set at 8. The Cardinals have a 40-29-3 over/under record and a 38-34-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Mariners are 36-38-0 against the run line and have a 34-35-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Cardinals head into this matchup with a 38-34 record, including 23-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Jaime Garcia has a 5-6 record with an earned run average of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 69 strikeouts over his 82.1 innings pitched and he has given up 82 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 171 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen while being struck out 207 times and walking 75 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.29 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.64 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 590 base hits and 282 earned runs. They have allowed 67 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 203 batters and struck out 544. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.
As a team, St. Louis is batting .261, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .266 average away from home. The Cardinals hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 9 hits per game. Matt Carpenter comes into this game hitting .296 and his on-base percentage is at .418. He has 72 hits this season along with 49 runs scored and 45 runs batted in. He's struck out 52 times and has walked 49 times. Yadier Molina is hitting .257 and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 63 hits so far while scoring 25 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 25 times and has struck out 34 times. The Cardinals have 649 hits, including 137 doubles and 94 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. St. Louis has walked 247 times this season and they've struck out 557 times as a unit. They've left 506 men on base and have a team OPS of .779. They score 5.24 runs per contest and have scored a total of 377 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 16-18 home record and a 37-37 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.34, James Paxton has a 1-3 record and a 1.62 WHIP. He has 34 strikeouts over the 29.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 39 hits. He has allowed 11.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.06. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.25 and they have given up 196 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 257 times and walking 92 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.53 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.53 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.78. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 630 base knocks and 279 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 91 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 229 hitters and struck out 630. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .247 average at home. The Mariners hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.96 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .281 and he has an OBP of .363. He has 77 hits this year along with 43 runs scored and 48 RBI. He's struck out 75 times and has walked on 31 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .295 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 90 hits so far while he's scored 52 runs and drove in 53. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 49 times. The Mariners as a unit have 663 base hits, including 108 doubles and 110 homers. They have 24 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Seattle as a team has walked 229 times this year and they have struck out 565 times. They've had 489 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They score 4.85 runs per game and have totaled 359 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 40-29-3 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 38-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 34-35-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 36-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
06/24/16 1B Matt Adams Back "?" Saturday vs. Seattle Mariners
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 15-day DL (6/24)
06/24/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot "?" next start
06/17/16 P Wade Miley Shoulder 15-day DL (6/13)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Josh's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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