Saturday, June 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. Chris Tillman
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Oriole Park on Saturday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Jake Odorizzi for the Rays and Chris Tillman for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +138 and Baltimore at -148. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Rays have a 31-34-5 over/under record and a 30-40-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Orioles are 40-31-0 against the run line and have a 35-33-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
The Rays head into this matchup with a 31-39 record, including 16-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 82 strikeouts over his 84.1 innings pitched and he has given up 73 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.99. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have given up 203 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 189 times and walking 78 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.68 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 599 base hits and 285 earned runs. They have allowed 94 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 207 batters and struck out 597. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .235, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .247 average away from home. The Rays hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.91 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .328. He has 74 hits this season along with 40 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 70 times and has walked 22 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .292 and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 47 hits so far while scoring 22 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 42 times. The Rays have 554 hits, including 115 doubles and 100 home runs. They've stolen 25 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Tampa Bay has walked 214 times this season and they've struck out 654 times as a unit. They've left 475 men on base and have a team OPS of .727. They score 4.01 runs per contest and have scored a total of 281 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 27-13 home record and a 41-30 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.11, Chris Tillman has a 10-1 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 86 strikeouts over the 89.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 72 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.05. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.11 and they have given up 225 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 220 times and walking 92 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.66 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 641 base knocks and 295 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 79 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 233 hitters and struck out 535. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.27.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .269 average at home. The Orioles hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9.07 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .317 and he has an OBP of .380. He has 86 hits this year along with 50 runs scored and 42 RBI. He's struck out 53 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .283 and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 80 hits so far while he's scored 40 runs and drove in 52. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 81 times. The Orioles as a unit have 644 base hits, including 135 doubles and 111 homers. They have 12 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 218 times this year and they have struck out 606 times. They've had 473 men left on base and have an OPS of .790. They score 4.87 runs per game and have totaled 346 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 31-34-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 30-40-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 35-33-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 40-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
06/21/16 2B Steve Pearce Hamstring 15-day DL (6/21)
06/17/16 RF Steven Souza Hip 15-day DL (6/15)
06/06/16 LF Brandon Guyer Hamstring 15-day DL (6/4)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/31/16 P Ryan Webb Pectoral 15-day DL (5/27)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/23/16 SS Manny Machado Suspension Served probable Friday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
06/14/16 P Vance Worley Groin 15-day DL (6/13)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays
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