Sunday, June 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. Tyler Wilson
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Oriole Park on Sunday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Drew Smyly for the Rays and Tyler Wilson for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +128 and Baltimore at -138. The over/under was set at 9. The Rays have a 31-35-5 over/under record and a 30-41-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Orioles are 41-31-0 against the run line and have a 35-34-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.
The Rays head into this matchup with a 31-40 record, including 16-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a 2-7 record with an earned run average of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 94 strikeouts over his 84.2 innings pitched and he has given up 81 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.11. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.09 and they have given up 204 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 190 times and walking 78 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.72 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.67 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 607 base hits and 291 earned runs. They have allowed 96 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 208 batters and struck out 604. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .235, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Rays hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.93 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .327. He has 75 hits this season along with 41 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 71 times and has walked 22 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .291 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 48 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 42 times. The Rays have 563 hits, including 118 doubles and 101 home runs. They've stolen 25 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Tampa Bay has walked 217 times this season and they've struck out 660 times as a unit. They've left 480 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 284 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 28-13 home record and a 42-30 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.19, Tyler Wilson has a 3-5 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 40 strikeouts over the 73 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 72 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.28. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.06 and they have given up 227 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 223 times and walking 93 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.63 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 650 base knocks and 298 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 80 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 236 hitters and struck out 541. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.28.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .268 average at home. The Orioles hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.06 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .320 and he has an OBP of .382. He has 88 hits this year along with 52 runs scored and 43 RBI. He's struck out 54 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 80 hits so far while he's scored 41 runs and drove in 52. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 82 times. The Orioles as a unit have 652 base hits, including 136 doubles and 113 homers. They have 12 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 219 times this year and they have struck out 613 times. They've had 476 men left on base and have an OPS of .789. They score 4.89 runs per game and have totaled 352 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 31-35-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 30-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 35-34-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 41-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
06/21/16 2B Steve Pearce Hamstring 15-day DL (6/21)
06/17/16 RF Steven Souza Hip 15-day DL (6/15)
06/06/16 LF Brandon Guyer Hamstring 15-day DL (6/4)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/31/16 P Ryan Webb Pectoral 15-day DL (5/27)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
06/14/16 P Vance Worley Groin 15-day DL (6/13)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rays
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