Thursday, September 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Blake Snell vs. Yovani Gallardo
The Tampa Bay Rays head to Oriole Park on Thursday to take on the Baltimore Orioles. The probable pitchers are Blake Snell for the Rays and Yovani Gallardo for the Orioles. The opening line for this game has Tampa Bay at +138 and Baltimore at -148. The over/under is 9.5. The Rays have a 71-66-7 over/under mark and a 66-78-0 run line record, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Orioles are 75-69-0 against the run line and have a 64-77-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Rays head into this game with a 61-83 record, and they are 26-43 on the road. Starting pitcher Blake Snell has a 5-8 record with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.64. He has 82 strikeouts during his 77 innings pitched and he has given up 81 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.61. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have allowed 431 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the pen while they've been struck out 409 times and walked 170 times this year. As a unit, Tampa Bay has given up 8.78 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.63 hitters per nine. They are 18th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.21. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 1,238 base hits and 593 earned runs. They have allowed 187 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 435 batters and struck out 1,216. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.
As a team, Tampa Bay is hitting .244, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .253 average on the road. The Rays have a .429 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .310 which is good for 27th in the league. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.24 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .272 and his on-base percentage is at .320. He has 153 hits this season along with 72 runs scored and 86 runs batted in. He's struck out 131 times and has walked 39 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .277 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 122 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 42 times and has struck out 104 times. The Rays have 1,186 hits, including 250 doubles and 198 home runs. They've stolen 54 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 33 times. Tampa Bay has walked 413 times this season and they've struck out 1,302 times as a unit. They've left 946 men on base and have a team OPS of .739. They score 4.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 607 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this game with a 45-25 home mark and a 79-65 overall record. With an ERA of 5.44, Yovani Gallardo has a 5-7 record and a 1.60 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 102.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 111 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.25. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 456 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 447 times and walking 193 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.02 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.75 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,272 base knocks and 622 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 168 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 497 hitters and struck out 1,093. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.41.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .266 average at home. The Orioles hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.88 hits per contest. Adam Jones comes into this matchup batting .277 and he has an OBP of .318. He has 151 hits this year along with 81 runs scored and 80 RBI. He's struck out 103 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Manny Machado is hitting .305 and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 174 hits so far while he's scored 99 runs and drove in 91. He has earned a walk 45 times and has punched out 103 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,277 base hits, including 245 doubles and 231 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 420 times this year and they have struck out 1,181 times. They've had 941 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They score 4.76 runs per game and have totaled 685 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 71-66-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 66-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 64-77-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 75-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
09/13/16 1B Logan Morrison Wrist out for season
09/07/16 SS Matt Duffy Heel out for season
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3); out for season
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
09/14/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow "?" Wednesday vs. Boston Red Sox
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles
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