Friday, September 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chris Archer vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Oriole Park on Friday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Chris Archer for the Rays and Ubaldo Jimenez for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +106 and Baltimore at -116. The over/under was set at 9. The Rays have a 72-66-7 over/under record and a 67-78-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Orioles are 76-69-0 against the run line and have a 64-78-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Rays head into this matchup with a 62-83 record, including 27-43 on the road. Starting pitcher Chris Archer has a 8-18 record with an earned run average of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 217 strikeouts over his 182.1 innings pitched and he has given up 163 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.68. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 431 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen while being struck out 411 times and walking 171 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 1,240 base hits and 594 earned runs. They have allowed 187 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 439 batters and struck out 1,222. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .245, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Rays hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.27 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .320. He has 155 hits this season along with 73 runs scored and 86 runs batted in. He's struck out 132 times and has walked 39 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .279 and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 124 hits so far while scoring 69 runs and he's driven in 50. He has walked 42 times and has struck out 106 times. The Rays have 1,199 hits, including 250 doubles and 200 home runs. They've stolen 55 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 33 times. Tampa Bay has walked 416 times this season and they've struck out 1,312 times as a unit. They've left 954 men on base and have a team OPS of .740. They score 4.24 runs per contest and have scored a total of 615 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 45-25 home record and a 80-65 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.98, Ubaldo Jimenez has a 7-11 record and a 1.65 WHIP. He has 104 strikeouts over the 123.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 138 hits. He has allowed 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.58. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 456 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 448 times and walking 193 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.75 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,276 base knocks and 622 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 168 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 498 hitters and struck out 1,100. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .266 average at home. The Orioles hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.85 hits per contest. Adam Jones comes into this matchup batting .275 and he has an OBP of .316. He has 151 hits this year along with 81 runs scored and 80 RBI. He's struck out 103 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Manny Machado is hitting .305 and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 175 hits so far while he's scored 99 runs and drove in 91. He has earned a walk 45 times and has punched out 104 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,282 base hits, including 245 doubles and 232 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 420 times this year and they have struck out 1,187 times. They've had 944 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They score 4.73 runs per game and have totaled 686 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 72-66-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 67-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 64-78-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 76-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
09/13/16 1B Logan Morrison Wrist out for season
09/07/16 SS Matt Duffy Heel out for season
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3); out for season
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
09/14/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow "?" Thursday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rays
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