Saturday, September 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Andriese vs. Chris Tillman
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Oriole Park on Saturday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Matt Andriese for the Rays and Chris Tillman for the Orioles. The Rays have a 73-66-7 over/under record and a 68-78-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Orioles are 76-70-0 against the run line and have a 65-78-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Rays head into this matchup with a 63-83 record, including 28-43 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Andriese has a 7-7 record with an earned run average of 4.46 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 95 strikeouts over his 111 innings pitched and he has given up 114 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.84. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 434 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 413 times and walking 174 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.20. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 1,249 base hits and 600 earned runs. They have allowed 187 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 444 batters and struck out 1,230. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .245, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .255 average away from home. The Rays hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.29 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .274 and his on-base percentage is at .321. He has 157 hits this season along with 74 runs scored and 91 runs batted in. He's struck out 132 times and has walked 39 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .281 and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 126 hits so far while scoring 71 runs and he's driven in 51. He has walked 43 times and has struck out 107 times. The Rays have 1,211 hits, including 254 doubles and 201 home runs. They've stolen 56 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 33 times. Tampa Bay has walked 419 times this season and they've struck out 1,325 times as a unit. They've left 961 men on base and have a team OPS of .741. They score 4.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 622 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 45-26 home record and a 80-66 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.68, Chris Tillman has a 16-5 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 130 strikeouts over the 159 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 140 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.19. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 461 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 454 times and walking 194 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.78 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.40. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,288 base knocks and 629 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 169 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 501 hitters and struck out 1,113. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .266 average at home. The Orioles hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.85 hits per contest. Adam Jones comes into this matchup batting .275 and he has an OBP of .318. He has 152 hits this year along with 82 runs scored and 80 RBI. He's struck out 104 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Manny Machado is hitting .306 and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 177 hits so far while he's scored 100 runs and drove in 91. He has earned a walk 45 times and has punched out 105 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,291 base hits, including 248 doubles and 232 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 425 times this year and they have struck out 1,195 times. They've had 952 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They score 4.74 runs per game and have totaled 692 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 73-66-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 68-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 65-78-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 76-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
09/13/16 1B Logan Morrison Wrist out for season
09/07/16 SS Matt Duffy Heel out for season
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3); out for season
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
09/15/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow out indefinitely
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
Tony's Pick: Take the Rays
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