Thursday, April 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. David Price
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Fenway Park on Thursday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Jake Odorizzi for the Rays and David Price for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +155 and Boston at -165. The over/under was set at 8. The Rays have a 2-9-2 over/under record and a 5-8-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Red Sox are 7-6-0 against the run line and have a 6-7-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Rays head into this matchup with a 6-7 record, including 1-2 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.07. He has 20 strikeouts over his 18.2 innings pitched and he has given up 17 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.09. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.48 and they have given up 25 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .192 against the bullpen while being struck out 32 times and walking 8 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 7.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.85 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 2.95. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 92 base hits and 38 earned runs. They have allowed 16 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 26 batters and struck out 127. They walk 2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.02 and their FIP as a unit is 3.41.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .207, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .188 average away from home. The Rays hold a .347 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .269 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 6.62 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .269 and his on-base percentage is at .309. He has 14 hits this season along with 7 runs scored and 6 runs batted in. He's struck out 10 times and has walked 3 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .250 and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 11 hits so far while scoring 6 runs and he's driven in 4. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 12 times. The Rays have 86 hits, including 15 doubles and 14 home runs. They've stolen 5 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Tampa Bay has walked 30 times this season and they've struck out 116 times as a unit. They've left 75 men on base and have a team OPS of .613. They score 2.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 37 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 3-5 home record and a 6-7 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.50, David Price has a 2-0 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 18 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 16 hits. He has allowed 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.61. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.51 and they have given up 36 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 59 times and walking 21 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.07 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.4 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 104 base knocks and 57 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 16 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 48 hitters and struck out 134. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.01.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .230 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.38 hits per contest. David Ortiz comes into this matchup batting .275 and he has an OBP of .408. He has 11 hits this year along with 5 runs scored and 10 RBI. He's struck out 8 times and has walked on 9 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .275 and he has an OBP of .327. He has collected 14 hits so far while he's scored 8 runs and drove in 3. He has earned a walk 4 times and has punched out 10 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 109 base hits, including 29 doubles and 10 homers. They have 9 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 1 time. Boston as a team has walked 42 times this year and they have struck out 106 times. They've had 81 men left on base and have an OPS of .708. They score 4.54 runs per game and have totaled 59 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 2-9-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 5-8-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 6-7-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 7-6-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Brad Boxberge Abdominal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/13/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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